Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/25/2023

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 25, 2023

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +115, Phillies -135; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +115, Phillies -135; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +115, Phillies -135; Over/Under:  9 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  61-38 (1st place, AL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  53-46 (2nd place, NL East)

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Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 4-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-38 record overall and have a road record of 31-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .741 OPS. Dean Kremer is their starting pitcher on Monday while Kyle Gibson is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 9-6 with a 4.76 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 8 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Phillies are entering this series off a win but lost their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-46 record overall and have a home record of 26-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .737 OPS. Cristopher Sánchez is their starting pitcher on Monday while Taijuan Walker is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 11-4 with a 4.11 ERA this season. His team won 7 of their last 8 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies haven't been great lately as they have died down a bit but they are going to have some momentum from that win on Sunday and will be looking to get back on track now. The Orioles have also been rolling lately with a really good offense as they now have the lead of the AL East, but their pitching hasn't been great lately and that has been a vulnerable area for them all season. The Phillies also have a really good offense and they have been a lot better in their home games too, they will take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get here especially with Gibson on the mound for the Orioles. Gibson may have 9 wins this season but he also has 6 losses for a reason as he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts all year and if the Orioles offense isn't giving him run support here, the Orioles will struggle to win this game. The Phillies are also going with Walker here and he has been a solid starter for the Phillies all year. He hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts at all and the team has also had a lot of success with him on the mound. He did give up 4 runs in his last start but he has also been a better starter at home this season and will be looking to bounce back with a better performance in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

Orioles Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 25, 2023 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Orioles 2.

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Baltimore Orioles: 61-38 (+26.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 31-18 (+19.9 units) on the moneyline in road games. 20-11 UNDER against NL East opponents. 36-23 UNDER in an inter-league game.

Philadelphia Phillies: 35-32 (-4.4 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 17-22 (-13 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 20-11 UNDER in an inter-league game. 12-5 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Baltimore Orioles:  A. Voth (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. C. Mullins (CF) Out indefinitely - Groin. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Song (SP) Early Aug - Back. S. Dominguez (RP) Early Aug - Oblique. C. Pache (LF) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Alvarado (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

“We just played four really good games against a really good team. Really proud of all of our guys. We did a lot things well this series. Hopefully we can keep it rolling.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Rays in their game on Sunday.

“He’s an athlete and he’s a baseball player. You can never tell with the speed of the game how it’s going to affect people, but he looks like he’s been there before.” - Rob Thomson on Bryce Harper after his team’s win against the Guardians in their game on Sunday.

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Anthony Santander (S) DH

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Austin Hays (R) LF

Aaron Hicks (S) CF

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

Colton Cowser (L) RF

Adam Frazier (L) 2B

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Jake Cave (L) LF

Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.313)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (97)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (17)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (55)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (23)

Wins:  Dean Kremer (10)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (28)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.327)

Hits:  Bryson Stott (111)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (26)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (61)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (21)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (11)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (16)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.38)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)