by Rod Pearson
Sunday, Jul 23, 2023
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Monday, July 24, 2023
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch: NBCS-PH
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Orioles +115, Phillies -135; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Orioles +115, Phillies -135; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Orioles +115, Phillies -135; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Season Record
Baltimore Orioles: 60-38 (1st place, AL East)
Philadelphia Phillies: 52-46 (2nd place, NL East)
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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles: 7-3 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies: 4-6 last 10
Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis
The Orioles entered their last series off a win but lost their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1. They enter this game with a 60-38 record overall and have a road record of 30-18. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Tampa Bay Rays still to be played on Sunday. They also lost the 2nd game of that series on Friday but won the series opener and the 3rd game on Thursday and Saturday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .743 OPS. Tyler Wells is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 10-4 with a 4.80 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HR, and 4 BB with 1 K on 4 hits through 4.2 IP against the LA Dodgers.
The Phillies entered their last series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1. They enter this game with a 52-46 record overall and have a home record of 26-19. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Monday with the 3rd game of their series against the Cleveland Guardians still to be played on Sunday. They also lost the 1st game and the 2nd game of that series on Friday and Saturday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .736 OPS. Aaron Nola is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Cristopher Sánchez is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 0-3 with a 3.06 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Orioles vs Phillies Prediction
The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies haven't been great since coming out of the All-Star break but they are back at home in this series and have a chance to get a much needed bounce back win with this better pitching matchup. The Phillies are going with Sanchez in this game and he has been really good in his starts this season, not giving up many runs lately. The Orioles do have a good offense but so do the Phillies and they should be able to match what the Orioles do here. The Phillies have been a better home team all year anyway and the Orioles are going with Kremer on the mound who hasn't been great this season. Kremer gave up a lot of runs in his last start and has been doing so in a lot of his starts lately. The Phillies offense hasn't been putting up a ton of runs in their games lately but they still have a really good offense and with the way Kremer has been pitching lately along with the Orioles bullpen, this could be the spark the Phillies offense needs to go on a big run again and get hot. The Phillies have the better pitching matchup here and will have an easier time trying to put runs up in this game at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.
Orioles Phillies Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Monday, July 24, 2023 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Phillies 5 Orioles 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Baltimore Orioles: 60-38 (+24.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 30-18 (+18.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 20-11 UNDER against NL East opponents. 36-23 UNDER in an inter-league game.
Philadelphia Phillies: 34-32 (-5.4 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 16-22 (-14 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 20-10 UNDER in an inter-league game. CRISTOPHER SANCHEZ is 6-1 UNDER in all games.
Key Injuries
Baltimore Orioles: A. Voth (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. C. Mullins (CF) Out indefinitely - Groin. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.
Philadelphia Phillies: N. Song (SP) Early Aug - Back. S. Dominguez (RP) Early Aug - Oblique. C. Pache (LF) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Alvarado (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“There's definitely some added intensity. The crowd was electric. It's the loudest I've ever seen it here. It's been a lot of fun.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Rays in their game on Saturday.
“Bryce said he feels great. Nothing came from the tumble, so that was good news.” - Rob Thomson on Bryce Harper after his team’s loss against the Guardians in their game on Saturday.
Starting Lineups
Baltimore Orioles
Gunnar Henderson (L) SS
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Anthony Santander (S) DH
Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B
Austin Hays (R) LF
Aaron Hicks (S) CF
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Colton Cowser (L) RF
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Trea Turner (R) SS
Bryce Harper (L) 1B
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Brandon Marsh (L) CF
Jake Cave (L) LF
Statistical Leaders
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average: Ryan O'Hearn (.306)
Hits: Adley Rutschman (97)
Home Runs: Anthony Santander (17)
RBI: Anthony Santander (54)
Stolen Bases: Jorge Mateo (23)
Wins: Dean Kremer (10)
Saves: Felix Bautista (27)
ERA: Chris Vallimont (0.00)
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average: Cristian Pache (.327)
Hits: Bryson Stott (111)
Home Runs: Kyle Schwarber (26)
RBI: Kyle Schwarber (60)
Stolen Bases: Trea Turner (21)
Wins: Taijuan Walker (11)
Saves: Craig Kimbrel (16)
ERA: Jose Alvarado (1.38)
Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
