Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/20/2024

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jun 19, 2024
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Thursday, June 20, 2024
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +114, Yankees -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +115, Yankees -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +115, Yankees -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  47-25 (2nd place, AL East)
New York Yankees:  51-24 (1st place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10
New York Yankees:  6-4 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-25 record overall and have a road record of 22-11. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Orioles lost the series opener of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .759 OPS. Rookie pitcher Cade Povich is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Cole Irvin is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 6-3 with a 3.03 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 9 hits through 5.2 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-24 record overall and have a home record of 23-10. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Yankees won the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .766 OPS. Gerrit Cole is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Luis Gil is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 9-1 with a 2.03 ERA this season. His team won their last 9 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5 innings played against the Boston Red Sox.


Orioles vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have looked really good in their games this season with their 47-25 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East and right behind the Yankees. They have also looked great in their road games with their 22-11 road record. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 51-24 record overall which has them leading the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 23-10 home record. The Yankees took the 1st game of this series and even though they lost to the Red Sox in a series over the weekend, the Orioles are a much bigger threat in the division right now so they can make amends with this series. The Orioles struggled to bring runners in when they played in that 1st game of this series and that is going to be a problem here with the way the Yankees have been pitching. The Yankees have a solid bullpen that is one of the best in the MLB, but they also have Gil going in this game and he has been having a great season. He is 9-1 with a 2.03 ERA and he is coming off another start in which he gave up just 1 earned run. The team has also had a ton of success with him this season, winning 9 games in a row with him starting and winning a majority of the games he started in. Irvin is on the mound for the Orioles and he hasn't been bad this season, but he is 6-3 with a 3.03 ERA and has been giving up more runs lately. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start which will be a big issue here with the way the Yankees are keeping the Orioles off the board, and even the team has lost 2 of the last 3 games he started in. The Yankees have the better pitching matchup here and they will use this series to pull more in the AL East. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Orioles Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 20, 2024 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 3 Orioles 0.
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MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 47-25 (+12.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 22-11 (+8.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 17-7 (+8 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 20-13 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5. 26-17 OVER against right-handed starters. 35-27 OVER in all games.

New York Yankees: 97-68 (-3.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 62-47 (-7.6 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 79-69 (-5.5 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 20-13 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175. 10-5 OVER in June games. 

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  K. Bradish (SP) Early July - Elbow. J. Holliday (SS) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. Coulombe (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Kremer (SP) Mid June - Tricep. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. G. Cole (SP) Prob Wed - Elbow. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Schmidt (SP) Mid June - Lower Body. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) Mid July - Back.


Notable Quotes


“It seemed like he was controlling both sides.” - Gunnar Henderson after their loss against the Yankees in their game on Tuesday.


“Feeling better after I got some good news. A big relief." - Aaron Judge on his injury after their win against the Orioles in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
Jordan Westburg (R) 3B
Adley Rutschman (S) DH
Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
Gunnar Henderson (L) SS
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Austin Hays (R) LF
Jorge Mateo (R) 2B
Colton Cowser (L) CF
James McCann (R) C

New York Yankees
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Juan Soto (L) RF
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Ben Rice (L) 1B
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Austin Wells (L) C
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)
Hits:  Adley Rutschman (82)
Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (22)
RBI:  Adley Rutschman (53)
Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (13)
Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (8)
Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (16)
ERA:  Nick Vespi (0.00)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)
Hits:  Juan Soto (82)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (26)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (64)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)
Wins:  Carlos Rodón (9)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (19)
ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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