Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/25/2023

by Rod Pearson

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Thursday, May 25, 2023
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  YES


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +105, Yankees -125; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +105, Yankees -125; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +105, Yankees -125; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  31-17 (2nd place, AL East)
New York Yankees:  30-20 (3rd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10
New York Yankees:  8-2 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this game off of a loss in their last game after completing the sweep in a 3-game series over the Toronto Blue Jays in their last series. They enter this game with a 31-17 record overall and have a road record of 16-9. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .756 OPS. Tyler Wells is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Kyle Gibson is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 5-3 with a 4.27 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 7 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Yankees are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak after completing the sweep in a 3-game series over the Cincinnati Reds in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-20 record overall and have a home record of 17-10. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Nestor Cortes is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Clarke Schmidt is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 2-4 with a 6.00 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.


Orioles vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles are off to a great start this season with one of the best records in the MLB and they have been a great road team too. Their pitching hasn't been great this season and it showed in their loss on Tuesday when they blew their big lead and ended up losing to the Yankees, but they also have one of the best offenses in the MLB and will be able to put up a ton of runs in this game. Schmidt is starting for the Yankees and he hasn't been good in his starts at all. Gibson is up for the Orioles here and he hasn't been great this season either but he has been improving in his starts lately and he has a really good offense to offer some run support too. The Yankees have been really hot lately but the Orioles have also been really hot and they have the edge in this game with their better pitching matchup and the hot offense they have been putting up so many runs with. The Orioles have also been making money all year as an underdog and were the same kind of team last season when priced like this. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Orioles Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, May 25, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 7 Yankees 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 31-17 (+14.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 25-10 (+15.5 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. KYLE GIBSON is 20-10 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5. 

New York Yankees: 90-70 (-12.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 93-78 (-18 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 12-6 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175. CLARKE SCHMIDT is 9-5 UNDER in all games.

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  D. Tate (RP) Early June - Forearm. R. Urias (3B) Early June - Hamstring. J. Means (SP) Mid July - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  D. German (SP) Elig Mon - Suspension. T. Kahnle (RP) Early June - Bicep. C. Rodon (SP) Late June - Elbow. J. Donaldson (3B) Early June - Hamstring. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid June - Groin. J. Trevino (C) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. F. Montas (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. G. Stanton (RF) Mid June - Hamstring. L. Gil (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“We’ve played so many close games, we’re bound to lose once in a while that’s tight like that. But I thought we played a really good game of baseball.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Yankees in their game on Tuesday.


“He’s the best player in the world right now and he continues to show you why all the time.” - Aaron Boone on Aaron Judge after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Adley Rutschman (S) DH
Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Austin Hays (R) LF
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
James McCann (R) C
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
Joey Ortiz (R) 3B

New York Yankees
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Aaron Judge (R) RF
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Harrison Bader (R) CF
Jake Bauers (L) DH
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) LF
Kyle Higashioka (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.303)
Hits:  Cedric Mullins (50)
Home Runs:  Ryan Mountcastle (10)
RBI:  Cedric Mullins (39)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (14)
Wins:  Dean Kremer (5)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (11)
ERA:  Yennier Cano (0.35)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Greg Allen (1.000)
Hits:  Anthony Rizzo (57)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (14)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (33)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (13)
Wins:  Gerrit Cole (5)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (5)
ERA:  Ian Hamilton (1.23)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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