Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/02/2022

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jul 01, 2022
Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 2, 2022
Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  BSN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +195, Twins -230; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +195, Twins -230; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +195, Twins -230; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  35-42 (5th place, AL East)
Minnesota Twins:  43-36 (1st place, AL Central)
 
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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10
Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Preview and Analysis

 
The Orioles enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 35-42 record overall and have a road record of 17-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .678 OPS. Spenser Watkins is their starting pitcher on Friday while Jordan Lyles is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-7 with a 4.94 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits through 7 IP against the Chicago White Sox. 
 
The Twins enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Cleveland Guardians 3-2 in a 5-game series. They enter this game with a 43-36 record overall and have a home record of 23-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the 1st game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .739 OPS. Joe Ryan is on the mound on Friday while Sonny Gray will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Saturday. He is 4-1 with a 2.17 ERA this season. His team won 7 of their last 8 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 3 hits through 7 IP against the Cleveland Guardians. 

 

Orioles vs Twins Prediction

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a big favorite in this game. They just lost their last series against the Guardians which did not help them in the standings but they will be hungry to bounce back against a weaker team here. The Twins have been good at home this season and they have Gray starting here who has been one of their better pitchers this season. Gray has been pitching well recently as he is not allowing many runs in his starts and the Twins have still been scoring in their games despite losing some so they will produce some offense here. Lyles is starting for the Orioles here and he has not been good this season as he has been allowing a lot of runs in his starts. With the Twins offense playing so well recently, they will surely score some runs in this game. Gray has been pitching well though and the Orioles offense has not been that good this season, they will likely struggle to score in this game and they have been even worse on the road as well. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins on the runline here.
 
Orioles Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 2, 2022 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Twins 8 Orioles 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Baltimore Orioles: 35-42 (+10.2 Units) ML in all games. 31-38 (+10.6 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 13-8 UNDER against AL Central opponents.
Minnesota Twins: 152-151 (-20.3 Units) ML in all games. 98-82 (-22.3 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 29-20 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200.
 

Key Injuries

 
Baltimore Orioles:  K. Bradish (SP) Early July - Shoulder. R. Urias (SS) Early July - Upper Body. T. Lakins Sr. (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow.
Minnesota Twins:  M. Sano (3B) Mid July - Knee. R. Lewis (SS) out for season - Knee. T. Larnach (RF) Early Aug - Abdominal.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Nick's been great for us. He's really thrown the ball well. He just left some balls elevated a little bit." - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Mariners on Wednesday. 
 
 
"Not an easy day. Wes will be on the plane with us. He'll fly back with us to Minnesota. We'll have some time to decompress and talk a little bit. Some emotions will be present." - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Guardians on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Trey Mancini (R) 1B
Anthony Santander (S) LF
Austin Hays (R) RF
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Ryan Mountcastle (R) DH
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Jonathan Arauz (S) 3B
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
 
Minnesota Twins
Luis Arraez (L) 2B
Byron Buxton (R) DH
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Max Kepler (L) RF
Jose Miranda (R) 1B
Alex Kirilloff (L) LF
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Gilberto Celestino (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Trey Mancini (.280)
Hits:  Cedric Mullins (78)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (14)
RBI:  Austin Hays (45)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (19)
Wins:  Tyler Wells (6)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (13)
ERA:  Jorge Lopez (0.73)
 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.340)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (85)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (20)
RBI:  Byron Buxton (36)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Polanco (3)
Wins:  Joe Ryan (6)
Saves:  Emilio Pagan (9)
ERA:  Jorge Alcala (0.00)
 
Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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