Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/01/2022

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jun 30, 2022
Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Friday, July 1, 2022
Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  BSN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +190, Twins -225; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +190, Twins -230; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +180, Twins -225; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  35-42 (5th place, AL East)
Minnesota Twins:  43-35 (1st place, AL Central)
 
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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10
Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Preview and Analysis

 
The Orioles enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 35-42 record overall and have a road record of 17-25. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Twins on Friday and they have Thursday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .678 OPS. Austin Voth was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Spenser Watkins is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-1 with a 5.14 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Chicago White Sox. 
 
The Twins have lost 2 of their last 3 games and enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 43-35 record overall and have a home record of 23-17. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Cleveland Guardians still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .743 OPS. Chris Archer is on the mound on Thursday while Joe Ryan will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Friday. He is 6-3 with a 3.20 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 1 K on 8 hits through 5 IP against the Colorado Rockies. 

 

Orioles vs Twins Prediction

The current betting odds for this game have not been listed yet. The Orioles just lost their last series to the Mariners on the road and they are on the road here again but they have been a very good team when it comes to making money this season. Blindly betting the Orioles in every game this season would put you over 10 units in the black and they are undefeated this season after a loss by 6 or more runs. They have Watkins starting here who has not been great this season overall but he has been pitching much better in his recent starts and has not been allowing as many runs. Ryan is pitching for the Twins and he had a very good start to the season but suffered an injury and has not been as good since coming back. He is coming off of another bad start in his last game and the Twins have also been slipping in the standings recently piling up more and more losses after a very good start to the season. The line is not out yet but there will be plenty of value on the Orioles here at a big underdog price. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.
 
Orioles Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 1, 2022 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Orioles 5 Twins 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Baltimore Orioles: 35-42 (+10.2 Units) ML in all games. 6-0 (+9.1 Units) ML after a loss by 6 runs or more. 13-8 UNDER against AL Central opponents.
Minnesota Twins: 152-150 (-19.3 Units) ML in all games. 55-59 (-6 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. 17-10 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125.
 

Key Injuries

 
Baltimore Orioles:  K. Bradish (SP) Early July - Shoulder. R. Urias (SS) Early July - Upper Body. T. Lakins Sr. (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow.
Minnesota Twins:  M. Sano (3B) Mid July - Knee. R. Lewis (SS) out for season - Knee. T. Larnach (RF) Early Aug - Abdominal.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Nick's been great for us. He's really thrown the ball well. He just left some balls elevated a little bit." - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Mariners on Wednesday. 
 
 
“I don’t think you’ll see a game much more difficult on a team than that. We’ve got to find a way to finish games out.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Guardians on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Trey Mancini (R) 1B
Anthony Santander (S) LF
Austin Hays (R) RF
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Ryan Mountcastle (R) DH
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Jonathan Arauz (S) 3B
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
 
Minnesota Twins
Luis Arraez (L) 2B
Byron Buxton (R) DH
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Max Kepler (L) RF
Jose Miranda (R) 1B
Alex Kirilloff (L) LF
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Gilberto Celestino (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Trey Mancini (.280)
Hits:  Cedric Mullins (78)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (14)
RBI:  Austin Hays (45)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (19)
Wins:  Tyler Wells (6)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (13)
ERA:  Jorge Lopez (0.73)
 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.337)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (83)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (20)
RBI:  Byron Buxton (36)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Polanco (3)
Wins:  Joe Ryan (6)
Saves:  Emilio Pagan (9)
ERA:  Jorge Alcala (0.00)
 
Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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