Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/27/2022

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Aug 26, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Saturday, August 27, 2022
Venue:  Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet SW

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +160, Astros -190; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +160, Astros -190; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +160, Astros -190; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  65-59 (4th place, AL East)
Houston Astros:  81-45 (1st place, AL West)
 
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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10
Houston Astros:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Preview and Analysis

 
The Orioles won 3 of their last 4 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 65-59 record overall and have a road record of 28-35. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .697 OPS. Rookie pitcher Kyle Bradish is their starting pitcher on Friday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-4 with a 3.45 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 5.1 IP against the Boston Red Sox. 
 
The Astros enter this game on a 4 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Minnesota Twins 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 81-45 record overall and have a home record of 42-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the 1st game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .747 OPS. Lance McCullers Jr. is their starting pitcher on Friday while Cristian Javier is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-8 with a 2.88 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

 

Orioles vs Astros Prediction

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a big favorite in this game. The Astros are starting to get on a roll again as they have put together a win streak coming into this series, and their pitching has been great in those games. The Orioles have also been playing well recently but they have been at home in their last few games where they play much better and are now on the road against one of the best teams in the MLB this season. The Orioles have not been pitching that well recently though, they have been allowing more and more runs in their games lately and have had to get a lot of their wins with their offense bailing them out. They will not be able to do this in Houston though as the Astros have one of the best pitching staffs, both starters and bullpen, in the MLB this season and they have been pitching great recently. The Orioles have been playing well but they do not have the pitching staff or the lineup to keep up in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game on the runline.
 
Orioles Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 27, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 6 Orioles 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Baltimore Orioles: 65-59 (+28 Units) ML in all games. 28-35 (+7.8 Units) ML in road games. 27-19 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Houston Astros: 118-64 (-9.7 Units) ML as a favorite of -150 or more. 71-48 UNDER in all games. 33-25 UNDER in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Baltimore Orioles:  T. Lakins Sr. (RP) Mid Sept - Elbow. T. Wells (RP) Early Sept - Oblique. A. Wells (SP) Late Sept - Elbow.
Houston Astros:  A. Diaz (SS) Mid Sept - Groin. M. Brantley (LF) out for season - Shoulder. J. Castro (C) out for season - Knee.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"These guys are just so enjoyable to be a part of. We keep having exciting series and wins like tonight. It's a good time to be an Oriole fan." - Jordan Lyles after their win against the White Sox on Thursday.
 
 
"That's why he's batting where he's batting, because I was hoping he'd have some runners on in front of him. That's why I hit (Christian) Vazquez ahead of him, because he gets on base and has been getting base hits. But that was huge." - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the Twins on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (Z) CF
Adley Rutschman (A) C
Anthony Santander (A) DH
Ryan Mountcastle (D) 1B
Kyle Stowers (Z) RF
Austin Hays (D) LF
Terrin Vavra (Z) 2B
Ramon Urias (D) 3B
Jorge Mateo (D) SS
 
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (D) 2B
Yuli Gurriel (D) 1B
Yordan Alvarez (Z) LF
Alex Bregman (D) 3B
Christian Vazquez (D) C
Trey Mancini (D) DH
Jeremy Pena (D) SS
Mauricio Dubon (D) RF
Jake Meyers (D) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Cedric Mullins (.267)
Hits:  Cedric Mullins (126)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (22)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (71)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (28)
Wins:  Jordan Lyles (9)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (9)
ERA:  Marcos Diplan (1.59)
 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Christian Vazquez (.371)
Hits:  Jose Altuve (116)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (31)
RBI:  Kyle Tucker (82)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (19)
Wins:  Justin Verlander (16)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (25)
ERA:  Ryne Stanek (1.28)
 
Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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