Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/04/2024

Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, August 4, 2024

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  MASN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -135, Guardians +114; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -135, Guardians +115; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -135, Guardians +115; Over/Under:  8 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  65-46 (1st place, AL East)

Cleveland Guardians:  67-42 (1st place, AL Central)

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Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  8-2 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series off a win and won their 4-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-46 record overall and have a road record of 31-21. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Orioles lost the series opener of this series on Thursday and the 2nd game on Friday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .769 OPS. Zach Eflin is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Corbin Burnes is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 11-4 with a 2.47 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 6.2 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Guardians are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 2-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 67-42 record overall and have a home record of 35-15. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Guardians won the 1st game of this series on Thursday and the 2nd game on Friday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Rookie pitcher Joey Cantillo is their starting pitcher on Friday while Gavin Williams is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 1-3 with a 3.72 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 8 strikeouts on 2 hits through 5 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians have looked great in their games this season with their 67-42 record overall which leads the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They also have one of the best home records in the MLB this season, going 35-15 in their home games. Meanwhile, the Orioles have also looked great in their games this season with their 65-46 record overall which has them leading the AL East with one of the best records in the MLB too. They have also looked great in their road games with their 31-21 road record. The Orioles haven't been at their best lately, already losing 2 games to the Guardians in this series, but this is a good game for them to bounce back in as they do have the better pitching matchup here. They are going with Burnes on the mound in this one and he is 11-4 with a 2.47 ERA, being their ace this season. He gave up 2 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him this year, not giving up many runs in his starts, and his team has had a ton of success with him too, winning 3 games in a row with him starting. The Guardians are going with Williams in this one and he is 1-3 with a 3.72 ERA. He is coming off a great start in his last one, giving up no runs, but the team hasn't had a ton of success with him. They have lost 2 of the last 3 games he started in and he isn't going to be able to keep this Orioles offense off the board, the Orioles offense being one of the best in the MLB. The Orioles are going to be looking to bounce back here and this is a game they will be able to put some runs up. Burnes also gives them the best chance to win here since he has the ability to shut down this Guardians offense that has been so hot lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Orioles Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, August 4, 2024 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Orioles 4 Guardians 2.

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Baltimore Orioles: 17-21 (-12.35 units) on the moneyline in their last 38 games. 2-5 (-4.40 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 7 away games. 39-26 to the over in their last 65 games.

Cleveland Guardians: 67-43 (+16.82 units) on the moneyline in their last 110 games. 54-42 (+9.55 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 96 games. 30-16 to the over with their team total in their last 46 home games.

Baltimore Orioles:  J. Westburg (3B) Out indefinitely - Hand. J. Mateo (SS) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Coulombe (RP) Late Sep - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  T. Bibee (SP) Prob Sat - Shoulder. S. Hentges (RP) Late July - Shoulder. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“Just an unreal experience. I’m glad it’s over, getting the first one out of the way, so tomorrow will be a normal day.” - Coby Mayo after their loss against the Guardians in their game on Friday.

“It seemed like we just kept the line moving and kept tacking on (runs). Guys weren’t trying to do too much and they ran the bases really well. It seems like we’re running with our heads up and doing a great job.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Friday.

C Cowser (L) LF

A Santander (S) RF

G Henderson (L) SS

R O'Hearn (L) DH

A Rutschman (S) C

R Mountcastle (R) 1B

C Mullins (L) CF

C Mayo (R) 3B

J Holliday (L) 2B

S Kwan (L) LF

L Thomas (R) RF

J Ramírez (S) 3B

J Naylor (L) 1B

D Fry (R) DH

A Gimenez (L) 2B

A Martínez (S) CF

B Rocchio (S) SS

A Hedges (R) C

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (1.000)

Hits:  Gunnar Henderson (123)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (32)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (75)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (19)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (13)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)

ERA:  Vinny Nittoli (0.00)

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.332)

Hits:  José Ramírez (116)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (28)

RBI:  José Ramírez (91)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (20)

Wins:  Ben Lively (10)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (33)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)