Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/02/2024

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, August 2, 2024

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  MASN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -130, Guardians +110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -130, Guardians +110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -130, Guardians +110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  65-44 (1st place, AL East)

Cleveland Guardians:  65-42 (1st place, AL Central)

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Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  6-4 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series off a win and won their 4-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-44 record overall and have a road record of 31-19. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Friday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .774 OPS. Trevor Rogers is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-7 with a 4.20 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the San Diego Padres.

The Guardians are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 2-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-42 record overall and have a home record of 33-15. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Friday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .710 OPS. Ben Lively is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Carlos Carrasco is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-9 with a 5.68 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 6 hits through 3.2 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians have looked great in their games this season with their 65-42 record overall which leads the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They also have one of the best home records in the MLB this season, going 33-15 in their home games. Meanwhile, the Orioles have also looked great in their games this season with their 65-44 record overall which has them leading the AL East with one of the best records in the MLB too. They have also looked great in their road games with their 31-19 road record. The Orioles haven't looked great lately but they are going to have some momentum here off a series win against the Jays in their last one. They are going to have Kremer on the mound here and he hasn't looked great in his starts this season, but he still gives the Orioles the more favorable pitching matchup in this one. He is 4-7 with a 4.20 ERA and his team has lost 2 games in a row with him starting. He did only give up 1 earned run in his last start though so the team will bring a better effort on offense in this one as Kremer looks to repeat that performance. Carrasco is on the mound for the Guardians and he is 3-9 with a 5.68 ERA this season. He has looked terrible lately, giving up 6 earned runs in his last start, and that has been a common theme for him all year since he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts. The team hasn't had much success with him either since he has been charged with 9 losses this season, and the team has also lost 3 games in a row with him starting. Neither starter has been great this season, but Kremer has been a lot better overall and is coming off a good start in his last one that he can build on. The Orioles will be looking to get back on track now that they are coming off a series win and this is a pitching matchup they can take advantage of. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Orioles Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 2, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Orioles 7 Guardians 4.

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Baltimore Orioles: 16-20 (-12.20 units) on the moneyline in their last 36 games. 1-4 (-4.10 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 5 away games. 37-26 to the over in their last 63 games.

Cleveland Guardians: 61-40 (+13.87 units) on the moneyline in their last 101 games. 53-41 (+9.95 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 94 games. 28-16 to the over with their team total in their last 44 home games.

Baltimore Orioles:  J. Westburg (3B) Ques Thurs - Hand. J. Mateo (SS) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Coulombe (RP) Late Sep - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  S. Hentges (RP) Late July - Shoulder. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“Just try to keep it simple. The last time I was up here, got myself trying to do a little bit too much.” - Jackson Holliday after their win against the Blue Jays in their game on Wednesday.

“He had to pitch through the rain and they fouled off enough pitches to get his pitch count up. His fastball command has been better and his curveball was really good.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s win against the Tigers in their game on Tuesday.

C Cowser (L) LF

A Santander (S) RF

G Henderson (L) SS

R O'Hearn (L) DH

R Mountcastle (R) 1B

C Mullins (L) CF

J Westburg (R) 3B

J Holliday (L) 2B

J McCann (R) C

S Kwan (L) LF

L Thomas (R) RF

J Ramírez (S) DH

J Naylor (L) 1B

A Martínez (S) CF

A Gimenez (L) 2B

T Freeman (R) 3B

D Schneemann (L) SS

A Hedges (R) C

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (1.000)

Hits:  Gunnar Henderson (121)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (31)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (73)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (19)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (13)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)

ERA:  Vinny Nittoli (0.00)

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.332)

Hits:  José Ramírez (114)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (27)

RBI:  José Ramírez (87)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (20)

Wins:  Ben Lively (9)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (33)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)