Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/17/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jun 16, 2023
Game Time: 2:20 pm ET, Saturday, June 17, 2023
Venue:  Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +110, Cubs -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +110, Cubs -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +110, Cubs -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  43-25 (2nd place, AL East)
Chicago Cubs:  31-37 (4th place, NL Central)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10
Chicago Cubs:  5-5 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this game off of a win in their last game and won their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-25 record overall and have a road record of 21-12. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Cole Irvin is their starting pitcher on Friday while Kyle Gibson is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-3 with a 3.90 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 7 hits through 6.1 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Cubs are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates in their last series. They enter this game with a 31-37 record overall and have a home record of 18-16. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .724 OPS. Kyle Hendricks is their starting pitcher on Friday while Justin Steele is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 6-2 with a 2.65 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 1 strikeout on 0 hits through 3 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.


Orioles vs Cubs Prediction

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have been having a great season, they are only in 2nd place of their division but they do have one of the best records in the entire MLB and have been rolling in their games lately. The Cubs have also been rolling in their games lately as they are starting to get hot but they haven't been great all season as they still have a losing record and they are going to struggle with this Orioles team that has been good in their road games all year. The Orioles also have Gibson on the mound here who has been pitching a lot better in his starts lately, giving up less and less runs now, and he also leads the rotation in wins as the team is finding success in his starts. The Cubs have Steele starting in this game and he has also been a stud this season as he hasn't given up many runs in his starts at all, but this is also his 1st start back from an injury that has kept him out the last few weeks and he won't be at his best here against this good Orioles offense that can put up a ton of runs in their games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Orioles Cubs Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 17, 2023 (2:20 pm ET start time) is Orioles 3 Cubs 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 43-25 (+19.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-12 (+12.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. 12-5 UNDER against NL Central opponents. 33-16 UNDER in an inter-league game. 

Chicago Cubs: 31-37 (-5.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 20-28 (-8.3 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 10-6 UNDER against AL East opponents. 31-17 UNDER after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival. 

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  A. Voth (SP) Early July - Elbow. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Mullins (CF) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

Chicago Cubs:  B. Hughes (RP) Early July - Knee. N. Burdi (RP) Late July - Appendix. C. Heuer (RP) Late June - Elbow. J. Steele (SP) Prob Sat - Forearm. C. Bellinger (CF) Ques Fri - Knee. E. Rios (DH) Out indefinitely - Groin. B. Boxberger (RP) Late June - Forearm. A. Sampson (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. E. Roberts (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“Besides the Danny Jansen at-bats, he was absolutely fantastic. He was doing what he's been doing all year: throwing a ton of strikes, working ahead in the count, locating well. Great start for him.” - Brandon Hyde on Tyler Wells after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Thursday.


“It seems like everybody's contributing. The at-bats are ... focused, relentless maybe, staying true to their approach." - David Ross after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
Austin Hays (R) LF
Adley Rutschman (S) DH
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B
Ramon Urias (R) 1B
James McCann (R) C
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
Joey Ortiz (R) 2B
Ryan McKenna (R) CF

Chicago Cubs
Mike Tauchman (L) CF
Nico Hoerner (R) 2B
Seiya Suzuki (R) RF
Ian Happ (S) LF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Cody Bellinger (L) 1B
Christopher Morel (R) DH
Nick Madrigal (R) 3B
Tucker Barnhart (L) C

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Aaron Hicks (.333)
Hits:  Austin Hays (70)
Home Runs:  Ryan Mountcastle (11)
RBI:  Cedric Mullins (39)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (20)
Wins:  Kyle Gibson (8)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (18)
ERA:  Reed Garrett (0.00)

Chicago Cubs
Batting Average:  Mike Tauchman (.296)
Hits:  Nico Hoerner (71)
Home Runs:  Patrick Wisdom (14)
RBI:  Ian Happ (31)
Stolen Bases:  Nico Hoerner (16)
Wins:  Marcus Stroman (8)
Saves:  Adbert Alzolay (3)
ERA:  Anthony Kay (0.00)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)
Chicago Cubs: David Ross (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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