Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/16/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jun 15, 2023
Game Time: 2:20 pm ET, Friday, June 16, 2023
Venue:  Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -120, Cubs +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -120, Cubs +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -120, Cubs +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  42-25 (2nd place, AL East)
Chicago Cubs:  30-37 (4th place, NL Central)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10
Chicago Cubs:  5-5 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this game off of a win in their last game and won their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-25 record overall and have a road record of 21-12. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Cubs on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Tyler Wells is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Cole Irvin is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-2 with a 7.85 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 5.1 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Cubs are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-37 record overall and have a home record of 17-16. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Pittsburgh Pirates still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .721 OPS. Marcus Stroman is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Kyle Hendricks is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-2 with a 3.09 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 1 hit through 8 innings played against the San Francisco Giants.


Orioles vs Cubs Prediction

The current betting odds have the Cubs listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cubs haven't been great this season with their losing record overall but they have been a lot better in their home games this year and have also been playing a lot better in their games lately. Their offense has been waking up now, they are facing the Orioles here who have one of the best records in the MLB and a really good offense too but the Orioles are also going with Irvin in this game who hasn't been good in his few starts this season. He was good in his last start but he has been giving up a ton of runs all year and pitching has already been an issue for the Orioles as their bullpen hasn't been great either. The Cubs have Hendricks on the mound here and he has only made a few starts this season but he has come back from his injury slinging and has not been giving up many runs at all. He will make it tough for the Orioles to score here as he did pitch 8 innings in his last start with no runs allowed and without their offense in this game, the Orioles will not be able to win with their pitching. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cubs to win this game.

Orioles Cubs Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 16, 2023 (2:20 pm ET start time) is Cubs 5 Orioles 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 42-25 (+18.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-12 (+12.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. 12-5 UNDER against NL Central opponents. 33-16 UNDER in an inter-league game. 

Chicago Cubs: 30-37 (-6.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 13-21 (-8.6 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 8-4 UNDER in June games. KYLE HENDRICKS is 17-10 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  A. Voth (SP) Early July - Elbow. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Mullins (CF) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

Chicago Cubs:  B. Hughes (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. N. Burdi (RP) Late July - Appendix. C. Heuer (RP) Late June - Elbow. J. Steele (SP) Prob Sat - Forearm. C. Bellinger (CF) Late June - Knee. E. Rios (DH) Out indefinitely - Groin. B. Boxberger (RP) Late June - Forearm. A. Sampson (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. E. Roberts (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“We had a tough time with Berríos. I thought he was absolutely excellent. We were making quick outs and he was filling up the strike zone with all his pitches and moving the ball in and out. Fastball had a ton of life. He was tough to hit.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Wednesday.


“I thought Dansby had one of the better games I've seen him have. I thought it was everybody contributing a little bit there, but a lot of traffic on the bases.” - David Ross after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
Austin Hays (R) LF
Adley Rutschman (S) DH
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B
Ramon Urias (R) 1B
James McCann (R) C
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
Joey Ortiz (R) 2B
Ryan McKenna (R) CF

Chicago Cubs
Mike Tauchman (L) CF
Nico Hoerner (R) 2B
Seiya Suzuki (R) RF
Ian Happ (S) DH
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Christopher Morel (R) LF
Matt Mervis (L) 1B
Yan Gomes (R) C
Nick Madrigal (R) 3B

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Aaron Hicks (.351)
Hits:  Austin Hays (68)
Home Runs:  Ryan Mountcastle (11)
RBI:  Cedric Mullins (39)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (18)
Wins:  Kyle Gibson (8)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (17)
ERA:  Reed Garrett (0.00)

Chicago Cubs
Batting Average:  Mike Tauchman (.299)
Hits:  Nico Hoerner (69)
Home Runs:  Patrick Wisdom (14)
RBI:  Nico Hoerner (29)
Stolen Bases:  Nico Hoerner (15)
Wins:  Marcus Stroman (7)
Saves:  Adbert Alzolay (3)
ERA:  Anthony Kay (0.00)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)
Chicago Cubs: David Ross (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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