Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/30/2022

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Monday, May 30, 2022

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  NESN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +120, Red Sox -140; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +120, Red Sox -140; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +120, Red Sox -140; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

 

Baltimore Orioles:  20-28 (5th place, AL East)

Boston Red Sox:  22-25 (4th place, AL East)

 

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Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  7-3 last 10

 

 

 

The Orioles are coming into this game with a 20-28 record overall and they are 8-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just lost their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of what is now a 5-game series with the Red Sox on Monday. This will be the 5th game of the series on Monday with the 4th game still to be played on Sunday. Bruce Zimmermann is the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while Tyler Wells will be on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 1-4 with a 4.30 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 2 Ks on 5 hits in 5 IP against the New York Yankees. They scored 12 runs in their last series averaging 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.

 

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 22-25 record overall and they are 11-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of what is now a 5-game series with the Orioles on Monday. This will be the 5th game of the series on Monday with the 4th game still to be played on Sunday. Nick Pivetta is the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while Rich Hill will be on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 1 strikeout on 2 hits in 5 innings played against the Chicago White Sox. They scored 33 runs in their last series averaging 11 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.

 

The Orioles are coming into this game playing well in their recent games. They have given the Red Sox trouble in this series and have even come back from down 6 runs in one of these games. They are going up against a Red Sox team that has been struggling all season and has been winning games in spurts but their pitching has not been great. Wells is starting for the Orioles here and he has not been great this season but neither has Hill who is starting for the Red Sox. Both of the bullpens have not been great in this series either and with the way the Orioles have been playing in this series, they are at least worth a bet on the runline as they could win this game or keep it very close if they lose. The best bet here is on the Orioles on the runline.

 

Orioles Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, May 30, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Orioles 8 Red Sox 6.

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Baltimore Orioles: 97-173 (-21.7 Units) ML in all games. 90-158 (-10.9 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 29-17 UNDER in all games.

Boston Red Sox: 60-45 (+4.5 Units) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 96-81 (+8.6 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 24-18 UNDER in all games.

 

 

Baltimore Orioles:  S. Watkins (SP) Early June - Forearm. T. Lakins Sr. (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Kremer (SP) Early June - Oblique.

Boston Red Sox:  J. Taylor (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. C. Sale (SP) Late June - Ribs. J. Paxton (SP) Early July - Elbow.

 

 

 

"We're just not giving at-bats away. When their pitchers are leaving stuff over the heart of the plate, we're not missing it. When they're trying to get us to chase and they're chasing strikeouts, we're not chasing those pitches." - Austin Hays after their massive comeback win against the Red Sox on Friday.

 

 

"He was great, especially in the second part of the game. We needed to re-set (the bullpen) at one point." - Alex Cora on Eovaldi after their double-header against the Orioles on Saturday.

 

 

 

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Austin Hays (R) RF

Anthony Santander (S) DH

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

Rougned Odor (L) 2B

Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Ryan McKenna (R) LF

 

Enrique Hernandez (R) CF

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Trevor Story (R) 2B

Alex Verdugo (L) LF

Christian Vazquez (R) C

Franchy Cordero (L) DH

Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B

Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF

Christian Arroyo (R) SS

 

 

Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.297)

Hits:  Austin Hays (49)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (8)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (25)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (13)

Wins:  Jorge Lopez (3)

Saves:  Jorge Lopez (6)

ERA:  Marcos Diplan (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)

Hits:  Rafael Devers (69)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (10)

RBI:  Trevor Story (37)

Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (6)

Wins:  Michael Wacha (3)

Saves:  Hansel Robles (2)

ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)

 

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)