Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/29/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, May 28, 2022
Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, May 29, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +140, Red Sox -160; Over/Under:  10 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +140, Red Sox -160; Over/Under:  10 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +140, Red Sox -160; Over/Under:  10 runs
 

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  19-27 (5th place, AL East)
Boston Red Sox:  21-24 (4th place, AL East)
 
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Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Orioles are coming into this game with a 19-27 record overall and they are 7-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. They just lost their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Sunday. This will be the 4th game of the series on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Denyi Reyes is the starting pitcher for them in game 2 on Saturday while Bruce Zimmermann will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 2-2 with a 3.78 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 4 HRs, and 0 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits in 6.1 IP against the New York Yankees. They scored 12 runs in their last series averaging 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 21-24 record overall and they are 10-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Sunday. This will be the 4th game of the series on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Rookie pitcher Josh Winckowski is the starting pitcher for them in game 2 on Saturday while Nick Pivetta will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 3-4 with a 4.25 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 5 hits in 6 innings played against the Chicago White Sox. They scored 33 runs in their last series averaging 11 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox are coming into this game as a favorite with the current betting odds. They just had an awful game in the series opener where the bullpen blew a massive lead and they ended up losing the game 12-8. That was a bad loss to take at home especially against a team like the Orioles but they still hit the ball very well in that game and they will likely keep that up in this game as well. Pivetta is starting for the Red Sox here and he had a rough start to the season but he has been pitching much better in his recent starts and he has been pitching deep into their games as well. He is exactly what the Red Sox need in this game to take some stress off of their bullpen and he will also get plenty of run support from a Red Sox offense that has been heating up. They will not want to lose this series to the Orioles at home and they will be hungry to bounce back with a win here. The best bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.
 
Orioles Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, May 29, 2022 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 6 Orioles 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Baltimore Orioles: 11-11 (+6 Units) ML as an underdog of +125 to +175. 14-6 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175. 27-17 UNDER in all games.
Boston Red Sox: 32-38 (-12.8 Units) ML when the total is 10 or higher. 13-18 (-17.3 Units) ML as a home favorite of -150 to -200. 12-4 UNDER against division opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Baltimore Orioles:  S. Watkins (SP) Early June - Forearm. T. Lakins Sr. (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Kremer (SP) Early June - Oblique.
Boston Red Sox:  J. Taylor (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. C. Sale (SP) Late June - Ribs. J. Paxton (SP) Early July - Elbow.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We're just not giving at-bats away. When their pitchers are leaving stuff over the heart of the plate, we're not missing it. When they're trying to get us to chase and they're chasing strikeouts, we're not chasing those pitches." - Austin Hays after their massive comeback win against the Red Sox on Friday.
 
 
"We hit the ball hard today, the whole night. We feel really good where we're at offensively and we did a great job against a good pitching staff." - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the White Sox on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Trey Mancini (R) 1B
Anthony Santander (S) LF
Austin Hays (R) RF
Ryan Mountcastle (R) DH
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Robinson Chirinos (R) C
Chris Owings (R) SS
 
Boston Red Sox
Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Christian Arroyo (R) 2B
Franchy Cordero (L) 1B
Kevin Plawecki (R) C
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.291)
Hits:  Trey Mancini (48)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (8)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (25)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (12)
Wins:  Jorge Lopez (3)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (5)
ERA:  Denyi Reyes (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (67)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (10)
RBI:  Trevor Story (37)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (6)
Wins:  Michael Wacha (3)
Saves:  Hansel Robles (2)
ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)
 
Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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