Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/27/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, May 26, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, May 27, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  Apple TV+

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +170, Red Sox -200; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +170, Red Sox -200; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +170, Red Sox -200; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
 

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  18-27 (5th place, AL East)
Boston Red Sox:  20-23 (4th place, AL East)
 
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Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Orioles are coming into this game with a 18-27 record overall and they are 6-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series opener of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Friday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Friday. Tyler Wells was the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while rookie pitcher Kyle Bradish is on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 1-3 with a 5.74 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HRs, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits in 5.1 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays. They scored 12 runs in their last series averaging 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 20-23 record overall and they are 10-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 6 of their last 7 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 6 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 4-game series against the Seattle Mariners 4-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the series opener of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Friday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Friday with the series finale of their series with the Chicago White Sox still to be played on Thursday. Michael Wacha is the starting pitcher for them on Thursday while Garrett Whitlock will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 1-1 with a 3.58 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 3 strikeouts on 10 hits in 3 innings played against the Seattle Mariners. They scored 17 runs in their last series averaging 8.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 6 runs against them averaging 3 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played.
 

 

Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox are coming into this game starting to heat up a lot in their recent games. They have been winning a lot more games recently and have been scoring a lot of runs in their games. Whatever problems the Red Sox were having at the beginning of the season are mostly gone as the team is starting to round into shape as what was expected from them this season. They have also been playing much better at home recently and they are going up against an Orioles team here that has not been playing well on the road this season. The Orioles just gave the Yankees trouble in their last series but they have been giving the Yankees trouble over the last few seasons where the Red Sox have been feeding off of them. The Orioles have also been awful on the road and they have a rookie pitcher in Bradish starting here who has not been very good this season. The Red Sox will score runs on him here at home and Whitlock, who is starting for the Red Sox in this game, has been pretty good this season in the games he has had to start. The Red Sox are starting to gain steam in their games and they are not going to lose any at home to teams like Baltimore with the way they are playing right now. The best bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game on the runline.
 
Orioles Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, May 27, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 6 Orioles 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Baltimore Orioles: 95-172 (-23.7 Units) ML in all games. 43-90 (-14.8 Units) ML in road games. 27-16 UNDER in all games.
Boston Red Sox: 95-79 (+10.8 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 22-16 UNDER in all games. 12-3 UNDER against division opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Baltimore Orioles:  S. Watkins (SP) Early June - Forearm. T. Lakins Sr. (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Kremer (SP) Early June - Oblique.
Boston Red Sox:  J. Taylor (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. C. Sale (SP) Mid June - Ribs. J. Paxton (SP) Early July - Elbow.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"His stuff was good. He was able to locate his pitches, move his fastball around. I think he looked really good." - Adley Rutschman on their pitching after their loss against the Yankees on Wednesday.
 
 
"He had to grind to get six innings. He's a good pitcher. We're very pleased where we're at." - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the White Sox on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Trey Mancini (R) 1B
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Austin Hays (R) LF
Ryan Mountcastle (R) DH
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
 
Boston Red Sox
Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Trevor Story (R) 2B
Franchy Cordero (L) 1B
Christian Vazquez (R) C
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Trey Mancini (.288)
Hits:  Trey Mancini (46)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (7)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (21)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (12)
Wins:  Jorge Lopez (3)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (5)
ERA:  Denyi Reyes (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (60)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (10)
RBI:  Trevor Story (33)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (5)
Wins:  Michael Wacha (3)
Saves:  Hansel Robles (2)
ERA:  John Schreiber (0.00)
 
Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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