Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/11/2024

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Apr 10, 2024
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Thursday, April 11, 2024
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA 
Where to Watch:  MASN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -120, Red Sox +100; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -120, Red Sox +100; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -120, Red Sox +100; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 (3rd place, AL East)
Boston Red Sox:  7-4 (2nd place, AL East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Tom Stryker is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB on a 6-0 MLB RUN for +$6,210 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.


Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  6-4 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 6-4 record overall and have a road record of 2-2. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Thursday and they have the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .674 OPS. Cole Irvin is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Grayson Rodriguez is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits through 6.1 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Red Sox are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 7-4 record overall and have a home record of 0-1. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Thursday and they have the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .695 OPS. Kutter Crawford is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Garrett Whitlock is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-0 with a 0.96 ERA this season. His team lost their last game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.


Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox have looked good in their games this season with their 7-4 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the American League. This is their 1st series at home this season and they are already 0-1 in their home games, but they will be looking to bounce back from that 1st home loss and play their best here. Meanwhile, the Orioles have looked good in their games this season with their 6-4 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the AL. They won the series opener here and they are 2-2 in their road games this season. The Orioles have Rodriguez on the mound here and he has been a good starter for them in his 2 starts this season, but he has given up more runs in his first 2 starts than Whitlock has. Whitlock has been improving for the Red Sox lately and he will be looking to have a great season as a starter this year. The Red Sox have also been better than the Orioles offensively to start the season and in a game like this where both starters have been solid to start the year, the Red Sox will have the edge with their hotter offense right now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.

Orioles Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, April 11, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 3 Orioles 1.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 190-147 (+66.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 92-75 (+45.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 67-62 (+24.7 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. GRAYSON RODRIGUEZ is 16-9 OVER in all games and 5-0 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Boston Red Sox: 163-172 (-17.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 82-81 (-12.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. 50-79 (-27.2 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. GARRETT WHITLOCK is 7-4 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 and 5-3 OVER in home games.

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  C. Perez (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. J. Means (SP) Late April - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Boston Red Sox:  N. Pivetta (SP) Late April - Elbow. T. Story (2B) out for season - Shoulder. L. Hendriks (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Mata (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Murphy (RP) out for season - Elbow. R. Refsnyder (LF) Out indefinitely - Toe. V. Grissom (2B) Late April - Hamstring. L. Giolito (SP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“He hung a breaking ball to O'Neill, but besides that — two hits through seven innings — total command in a tight game. Punched out a bunch. That's No. 1 starter stuff right there.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Red Sox in their game on Tuesday.


“If I make that play, we get out of the inning and then none of the other things happen.” - Jarren Duran after their loss against the Orioles in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
Gunnar Henderson (L) SS
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Ryan O'Hearn (L) DH
Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Colton Cowser (L) LF
Jordan Westburg (R) 3B
Jackson Holliday (L) 2B

Boston Red Sox
Jarren Duran (L) LF
Tyler O'Neill (R) RF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
Triston Casas (L) 1B
Romy Gonzalez (R) SS
Pablo Reyes (R) 2B
Masataka Yoshida (L) DH
Connor Wong (R) C
Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Colton Cowser (.467)
Hits:  Adley Rutschman (12)
Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (2)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (11)
Stolen Bases:  Gunnar Henderson (3)
Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (2)
Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (1)
ERA:  Keegan Akin (0.00)

Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Tyler O'Neill (.344)
Hits:  Jarren Duran (15)
Home Runs:  Tyler O'Neill (6)
RBI:  Reese McGuire (8)
Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (6)
Wins:  Tanner Houck (2)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (3)
ERA:  Tanner Houck (0.00)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)
Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2024 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.