Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Game 1 Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/28/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, May 27, 2022
Game Time: 12:10 pm ET, Saturday, May 28, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles NL, Red Sox NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles NL, Red Sox NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles NL, Red Sox NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
 

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  18-27 (5th place, AL East)
Boston Red Sox:  21-23 (4th place, AL East)
 
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Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  8-2 last 10
 
 
 

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Orioles are coming into this game with a 18-27 record overall and they are 6-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Rookie pitcher Kyle Bradish is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while there is no probable pitcher yet on the mound for them here in game 1 on Saturday. They scored 12 runs in their last series averaging 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 21-23 record overall and they are 10-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 7 of their last 8 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Garrett Whitlock is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Nathan Eovaldi will be on the mound for them here in game 1 on Saturday. He is 1-2 with a 4.10 ERA this season. His team lost 5 of their last 6 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 11 strikeouts on 4 hits in 6.2 innings played against the Seattle Mariners. They scored 33 runs in their last series averaging 11 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox are coming into this game playing much better in their recent games as they have been winning more games and are scoring a lot more runs. They have a solid starter on the mound here in Eovaldi who will be looking to bounce back after a few bad starts and will not be beaten by an Orioles team that has not been good on the road this season. The Orioles have been awful on the road and the Red Sox have been heating up, coming out of a very long slump that they started the season in. The Red Sox have a lot of ground to make up in the standings and double-header or no, they will be looking to win both of these games at home against a bad team like the Orioles. The best bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game on the runline.
 
Orioles Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 28, 2022 (12:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 7 Orioles 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Baltimore Orioles: 95-172 (-23.7 Units) ML in all games. 43-90 (-14.8 Units) ML in road games. 27-16 UNDER in all games.
Boston Red Sox: 95-79 (+10.8 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 12-3 UNDER against division opponents. 22-17 UNDER in all games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Baltimore Orioles:  S. Watkins (SP) Early June - Forearm. T. Lakins Sr. (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Kremer (SP) Early June - Oblique.
Boston Red Sox:  J. Taylor (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. C. Sale (SP) Mid June - Ribs. J. Paxton (SP) Early July - Elbow.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"His stuff was good. He was able to locate his pitches, move his fastball around. I think he looked really good." - Adley Rutschman on their pitching after their loss against the Yankees on Wednesday.
 
 
"We hit the ball hard today, the whole night. We feel really good where we're at offensively and we did a great job against a good pitching staff." - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the White Sox on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Trey Mancini (R) 1B
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Austin Hays (R) LF
Ryan Mountcastle (R) DH
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
 
Boston Red Sox
Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Trevor Story (R) 2B
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Christian Vazquez (R) C
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
Christian Arroyo (R) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Trey Mancini (.288)
Hits:  Trey Mancini (46)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (7)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (21)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (12)
Wins:  Jorge Lopez (3)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (5)
ERA:  Denyi Reyes (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (62)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (10)
RBI:  Trevor Story (37)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (6)
Wins:  Michael Wacha (3)
Saves:  Hansel Robles (2)
ERA:  John Schreiber (0.00)
 
Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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