Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/01/2023

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, November 1, 2023

Venue:  Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ball State +5.5, BGSU -5.5; Over/Under:  39.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ball State +5.5, BGSU -5.5; Over/Under:  39.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ball State +5.5, BGSU -5.5; Over/Under:  39.5 points

Ball State Cardinals:  2-6 (1-3) (6th place, MAC West)

Bowling Green Falcons:  4-4 (2-2) (4th place, MAC East)

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Ball State Cardinals:  won their last game at home against the Central Michigan Chippewas 24-17.

Bowling Green Falcons:  won their last game at home against the Akron Zips 41-14.

Ball State is entering this game with a 2-6 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 0-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Central Michigan 24-17. Kiael Kelly was the starting QB and he completed 13/16 passes for 101 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Marquez Cooper led the team in rushing yards with 162 and 1 TD. Qian Magwood led the receivers with 49 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Cole Pearce led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Sidney Houston Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Bowling Green State is entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Akron 41-14. Connor Bazelak was the starting QB and he completed 6/11 passes for 69 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Terion Stewart led the team in rushing yards with 131 and 3 TDs. Harold Fannin led the receivers with 34 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Darren Anders led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Darren Anders and Cashius Howell each led the defense in sacks with 2. Jalen Huskey and Trent Simms each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Bowling Green listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Bowling Green is only 4-4 overall this season and they are 2-2 in their conference games but they just beat up on Akron at home in their last game and they have been good at beating up on the teams much worse than them. They are 2-1 in their home games this season while Ball State enters this game off a win at home but they are only 2-6 overall this season and are coming off their only win in the MAC as they are 1-3 in conference play. They have also been terrible in their road games with a 0-4 road record and they won't play as well on the road in this game like they did last week. Bowling Green has a lot of momentum from their win last week and they are at home again here looking to beat up on another bad team that they are much better than. The best way to place a bet here is on Bowling Green to cover the spread in this game. 

Ball State Bowling Green Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Wednesday, November 1, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is BGSU 33 Ball State 17.

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Ball State Cardinals: 4-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 12-22 ATS after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers. 23-10 UNDER in all games. 15-5 UNDER against conference opponents. 12-3 UNDER after playing a game at home.

Bowling Green Falcons: 33-14 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more. 10-2 ATS after playing a game at home. 19-8 UNDER off a home win by 17 points or more. 33-17 UNDER after allowing 14 points or less last game.

Ball State Cardinals:  T. Robinson (WR) out for season - Thumb. B. Hunt (TE) out for season - Ankle. C. Davis (RB) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Bowling Green Falcons:  None.

“You never have time for everything, so sometimes being able to focus on a couple of days where you're just working on yourself is always a good thing.” - Mike Neu after his team’s win against CMU in their last game.

“This was a great win as we enter the month of November. Everyone remembers what you do in November, so we get that opportunity to do that in the next four weeks.” - Scot Loeffler after his team’s win against Akron in their last game. 

WR Presley, Nick  

WR Gillie, Malcolm 

WR Magwood, Qian 

TE Koziol, Tanner 

TE Webster, Maximus 

QB Kelly, Kiael  

RB Cooper, Marquez 

WR Ibrahim, Abdul-Fatai 

WR Hiliare, Odieu 

TE Fannin Jr., Harold 

TE Bench, Andrew  

QB Bazelak, Connor 

RB Stewart, Terion 

Passing: L. Hatcher (566)

Rushing: M. Cooper (584)

Receiving: Q. Magwood (309)

Touchdowns: M. Cooper (2)

Passing: C. Bazelak (890)

Rushing: T. Stewart (670)

Receiving: O. Hiliare (226)

Touchdowns: T. Stewart (7)

Coaches:

Ball State Cardinals: Mike Neu (8th season)

Bowling Green Falcons: Scot Loeffler (5th season)