Auburn Tigers vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/23/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Sep 18, 2023
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 23, 2023
Venue:  Kyle Field, College Station, TX 
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Auburn +7, Texas A&M -7; Over/Under:  52.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Auburn +7, Texas A&M -7; Over/Under:  52.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Auburn +7, Texas A&M -7; Over/Under:  52.5 points

Season Record

Auburn Tigers:  3-0 (0-0) (3rd place, SEC West)
Texas A&M Aggies:  2-1 (0-0) (4th place, SEC West)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in CFB with a 13-6 start this season! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Auburn Tigers:  won their last game at home against the Samford Bulldogs 45-13.
Texas A&M Aggies:  won their last game at home against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 47-3.


Auburn Tigers vs Texas A&M Aggies Preview and Analysis


Auburn is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Samford 45-13. Payton Thorne was the starting QB and he completed 24/32 passes for 282 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Payton Thorne led the team in rushing yards with 123 and 2 TDs. Jay Fair led the receivers with 93 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Caleb Wooden led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Cam Riley and Lawrence Johnson each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jaylin Simpson and J.D. Rhym each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
Texas A&M is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against ULM 47-3. Conner Weigman was the starting QB and he completed 25/29 passes for 337 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Rueben Owens led the team in rushing yards with 51 and 1 TD. Ainias Smith led the receivers with 127 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Jarred Kerr led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Shemar Turner and Malick Sylla each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


Auburn vs Texas A&M Prediction

The current betting odds have Auburn listed as a 7 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Auburn has looked good in their 3 games this season as they pulled off a tough road win over Cal and destroyed their 2 weaker opponents at home. Now they are starting their conference schedule with their 1st game on the road against Texas A&M but the Aggies haven't looked that great in their games. Their 2 wins came in blowouts at home against bad teams but when they faced a better team in Miami-FL, they failed to answer the call with a big loss on the road. They are starting their conference schedule at home which does give them the advantage here to win this game but Auburn has a really good offense that will keep up with Texas A&M, especially since Texas A&M has had a really shaky defense against better offenses. Texas A&M will likely win this game at home but not by much and Auburn is still a live underdog to take this one. The best way to place a bet here is on Auburn to cover the spread in this game.

Auburn Texas A&M Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 23, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Texas A&M 34 Auburn 30.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Auburn Tigers Texas A&M Aggies prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Auburn Tigers: 2-8 ATS after playing a non-conference game. 5-10 ATS off 2 no-covers where the team won as a favorite. 2-8 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. 6-1 UNDER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. 9-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins.

Texas A&M Aggies: 10-5 ATS in home games. 21-12 ATS after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs. 20-7 UNDER after gaining 375 or more passing yards in the last game. 35-22 UNDER after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. 9-5 UNDER after playing a game at home.

Key Injuries


Auburn Tigers:  A. Keys (LB) Out indefinitely - Thumb.

Texas A&M Aggies:  N. Thomas (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. E. Stewart (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. D. Green (TE) out for season - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“Outside of that, I thought he played really solid. I thought he had a solid day but the plan was absolutely we’ve got to get more confidence in us being a balanced offense. And that was the goal.” - Hugh Freeze after his team’s win against Samford in their last game. 


“It was a very efficient day. Was what we needed.” - Jimbo Fisher after his team’s win against UL Monroe in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Auburn Tigers
WR Hooks, Shane 
WR Shorter, Jyaire 
WR Fair, Jay  
TE Fairweather, Rivaldo 
QB Thorne, Payton 
RB Hunter, Jarquez 

Texas A&M Aggies
WR Stewart, Evan 
WR Thomas, Noah 
WR Smith, Ainias 
TE Johnson, Jake 
QB Weigman, Conner 
RB Daniels, Amari 
FB Crownover, Earnest 

Statistical Leaders


Auburn Tigers
Passing: P. Thorne (517)
Rushing: P. Thorne (140)
Receiving: J. Fair (174)
Touchdowns: R. Ashford (4)

Texas A&M Aggies
Passing: C. Weigman (909)
Rushing: A. Daniels (149)
Receiving: E. Stewart (257)
Touchdowns: N. Thomas (4)

Coaches:
Auburn Tigers: Hugh Freeze (1st season)
Texas A&M Aggies: Jimbo Fisher (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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