Auburn Tigers vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/04/2025

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 4, 2025

Venue:  Reed Arena, College Station, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Auburn -5.5, Texas A&M +5.5; Over/Under:  149.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Auburn -5.5, Texas A&M +5.5; Over/Under:  149.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Auburn -5.5, Texas A&M +5.5; Over/Under:  149.5 points

Auburn Tigers:  27-2 (15-1) (1st place, SEC)

Texas A&M Aggies:  20-9 (9-7) (7th place, SEC)

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Auburn Tigers:  5-0  last 5

Texas A&M Aggies:  1-4  last 5

Auburn is entering this game with a 27-2 record overall, a 15-1 record in conference games, and they are 8-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Kentucky Wildcats in their last game. Miles Kelly led the team in points in that game with 30 while Chad Baker-Mazara was next on the team with 22. Tahaad Pettiford led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Johni Broome led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 51.8% from the field, 44.4% from 3-point range, and 77.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 PPG against them. Auburn has an ATS record of 17-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 18-11.

Texas A&M is entering this game with a 20-9 record overall, a 9-7 conference record, and they are 12-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Florida Gators in their last game. Zhuric Phelps led the team in points in that game with 16 while Pharrel Payne was next on the team with 14. Andersson Garcia, Wade Taylor IV, and Henry Coleman III each led the team in assists with 1 in that game while Pharrel Payne led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 39% from the field, 29.4% from 3-point range, and 67.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 73.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.4 PPG against them. Texas A&M has an ATS record of 14-12-3 this season and their O/U record is 11-18.

The current betting odds have Auburn listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Auburn has looked great in their games this season with their 27-2 record overall and their 15-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the SEC. The SEC has been one of the best conferences in the nation this season and Auburn has been leading the way all year, ranked as the best team in the nation too. They have also been a great road team with their 8-1 road record this season. Meanwhile, Texas A&M has looked good in their games this season with their 20-9 record overall and their 9-7 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They have looked great on their home court too with their 12-3 home record, but lately they haven't looked that good. They are coming off a double digit loss to Florida in their last one and they have been in a big slump with 4 losses in a row now. They are still ranked inside the top 25, but their last 2 road losses have both been blowouts while 1 of their 2 home losses was against a team that isn't ranked. The wheels have been falling off for Texas A&M at the worst time with the tournament right around the corner, and this isn't a good situation to be in, badly needing a bounce back win against the best team in the nation. Auburn is coming off a double digit road win over Kentucky in their last one and they have been rolling over opponents in their games lately. They also have a ton of momentum on their side with 6 wins in a row now and will be looking to keep that momentum into the tournament. The best way to place a bet here is on Auburn to cover the spread in this game. 

Auburn Texas A&M Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, March 4, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Auburn 85 Texas A&M 75.

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Auburn Tigers: 9-5 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% of their attempts or less. 10-5 1H ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 20-9 1H ATS after playing a road game. 10-5 OVER off a road win against a conference rival. 19-11 OVER after playing a road game.26-19 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.

Texas A&M Aggies: 2-5 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more. 4-7 ATS after allowing 85 points or more. 7-17 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 8-3 OVER after allowing 85 points or more. 20-10 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 

Auburn Tigers:  None.

Texas A&M Aggies:  None.

“Denver Jones is so valuable to us, I can’t begin to tell you, because he plays two positions. He’s our best defensive guard, and for us to win the game without him, that’s incredible.” - Bruce Pearl on the injury to Denver Jones.

"That would be part of it. I think the thing that hurt us the most was the job they did on the offensive glass. I think they average 27 threes per game in SEC play. They're very proficient in how they play, very efficient in how they play. I think how we play defensively somewhat encourages threes. And so teams that have as many shooters as they have and are as comfortable with the ball, it will probably lead to high assists and high threes. I thought the 20 threes they took in the first half, in many respects, were different than the 13 they took in the second half. I would attribute a portion of that being they really did a really good job on the offensive glass over the last eight minutes.” - Buzz Williams after his team’s loss against Florida in their last game. 

C. Baker-Mazara 

J. Broome 

D. Cardwell 

D. Jones 

M. Kelly

H. Coleman 

H. Hefner 

Z. Phelps 

W. Taylor 

S. Washington

PPG: J. Broome (18.4)

APG: J. Broome (3.3)

Reb/G: J. Broome (10.8)

PPG: W. Taylor (15.1)

APG: W. Taylor (4.6)

Reb/G: A. Garcia (5.8)

Coaches:

Auburn Tigers: Bruce Pearl (11th season)

Texas A&M Aggies: Buzz Williams (6th season)