Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/05/2022

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 5, 2022

Venue:  Davis Wade Stadium, Mississippi State, MS

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Auburn +12.5, MS State -12.5; Over/Under:  51 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Auburn +12.5, MS State -12.5; Over/Under:  51 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Auburn +12.5, MS State -12.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

 

Auburn Tigers:  3-5 (1-4) (6th place, SEC West)

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  5-3 (2-3) (5th place, SEC West)

 

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Auburn Tigers:  lost their last game at home against the Arkansas Razorbacks 41-27.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  lost their last game on the road against the Alabama Crimson Tide 30-6.

 

Auburn is entering this game with a 3-5 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 0-2 in their road games this year. This will also be their 6th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 1-4. They lost against the Arkansas Razorbacks in their last game at home 41-27. Robby Ashford started that game at QB and he completed 24/33 passes for 285 yards and 1 touchdown. Robby Ashford led the team in rushing with 87 yards on 19 rushing attempts. Camden Brown led the team in receiving with 83 yards and 1 TD on 4 receptions. Colby Wooden led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Owen Pappoe led the defense in sacks with 1.5 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Mississippi State is entering this game with a 5-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th home game of the season as they are 4-0 in their home games this year. This will also be the 6th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 2-3. They lost against the Alabama Crimson Tide in their last game on the road 30-6. Will Rogers started that game at QB and he completed 30/60 passes for 231 yards. Jo'quavious Marks led the team in rushing with 53 yards and 1 TD on 13 carries. Rara Thomas led the team in receiving with 73 yards on 8 receptions. Nathaniel Watson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles. Nathaniel Watson and Randy Charlton each led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Mississippi State listed as a 12.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Mississippi State just had their bye week after a really bad loss to Alabama right before, but they have had plenty of time to prepare for this game on their bye and they will be looking to bounce back here at home. They have actually been really good here at home this season as they are an undefeated 4-0 still and Auburn is in a bit of a transition right now. Auburn just fired their head coach after their loss last week but there are going to be some major changes in this program at a few other positions so the rest of this season is pretty much a write off to them. They haven't been playing great in many of their games and they have been even worse in their road games. Mississippi State just needs 1 more win to become bowl eligible and this is a great opportunity for them to pounce on Auburn here in their 1st game with an interim coach. The best way to place a bet here is on Mississippi State to cover the spread in this game.

 

Auburn Mississippi State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 5, 2022 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Mississippi State 42 Auburn 13.

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Auburn Tigers: 20-12 ATS in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 19-13 UNDER in all games. 15-7 UNDER as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points.

Mississippi State Bulldogs: 8-14 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 24-12 UNDER as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 53-28 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56.

 

 

Auburn Tigers:  J. Ingram (RB) out for season - Knee. L. King (WR) out for season - Redshirt. E. Leota (LB) out for season - Pectoral. Z. Calzada (QB) out for season - Shoulder. T. Johnson (OL) Late Nov - Elbow.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  D. Johnson (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed.

 

 

"I would hope no one's happy about losing a game, simple as that. You put a lot of time and effort into preparing yourself. If it's not painful when you lose, then you've got the wrong people." - Bryan Harsin after Auburn’s loss against Arkansas in their last game.

 

 

“The other teams run their plays. I’m busy thinking about how to address that. So no, I don’t really think it affects a lot.” - Mike Leach on the upcoming matchup against Auburn here.

 

 

 

WR Jackson, Shedrick

WR Moore, Koy

WR Johnson, Ja'Varrius 

TE Shenker, John Samuel

QB Ashford, Robby

RB Bigsby, Tank 

 

WR Thomas, Rara

WR Ducking, Caleb

WR Harvey, Rufus

WR Williams, Austin 

QB Rogers, Will 

RB Marks, Jo'quavious 

 

 

Passing: R. Ashford (1299)

Rushing: T. Bigsby (587)

Receiving: J. Johnson (399)

Touchdowns: T. Bigsby (7)

 

Passing: W. Rogers (2544)

Rushing: D. Johnson (418)

Receiving: R. Thomas (456)

Touchdowns: C. Ducking (7)

 

Coaches:

Auburn Tigers: Cadillac Williams (Interim)

Mississippi State Bulldogs: Mike Leach (3rd season)