Auburn Tigers vs LSU Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/14/2023

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 14, 2023

Venue:  Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Auburn +11.5, LSU -11.5; Over/Under:  60.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Auburn +11, LSU -11; Over/Under:  60 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Auburn +11.5, LSU -11.5; Over/Under:  60.5 points

Auburn Tigers:  3-2 (0-2) (5th place, SEC West)

LSU Tigers:  4-2 (3-1) (2nd place, SEC West)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in CFB as he is 81-43 his last 124 CFB Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Auburn Tigers:  lost their last game at home against the Georgia Bulldogs 27-20.

LSU Tigers:  won their last game on the road against the Missouri Tigers 49-39.

Auburn is entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Georgia 27-20. Payton Thorne was the starting QB and he completed 10/19 passes for 82 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Payton Thorne led the team in rushing yards with 92. Rivaldo Fairweather led the receivers with 44 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Eugene Asante led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Jaylin Simpson came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

LSU is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Missouri 49-39. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 15/21 passes for 259 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Logan Diggs led the team in rushing yards with 134 and 1 TD. Malik Nabers led the receivers with 146 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Zy Alexander led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Bradyn Swinson and Maason Smith each led the defense in sacks with 1. Major Burns and Harold Perkins each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Auburn listed as an 11.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Auburn is only 3-2 this season and they have struggled in their conference games with a 0-2 record there but they looked a lot better in their last game as they almost beat Georgia. They are on the road in this game but they are also coming off a bye and LSU hasn't been that great themselves. LSU is 4-2 this season but their defense has been terrible in their games as they have been giving up a ton of points. LSU just won their last game on the road by 10 points but even that win was a lot closer than the score suggests. LSU has struggled against SEC opponents this season and Auburn's defense did give Georgia a lot of trouble. Auburn's defense will be able to keep the LSU offense at bay enough to keep this game close since the LSU defense is going to give up points here as they have all year. The best way to place a bet here is on Auburn to cover the spread in this game. 

Auburn LSU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 14, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is LSU 24 Auburn 20.

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Auburn Tigers: 1-8 ATS off a home cover where the team lost as an underdog. 6-11 ATS after playing a game at home. 4-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 27-17 OVER after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. 5-1 OVER after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game.

LSU Tigers: 10-5 ATS in home games. 6-1 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game. 24-15 ATS after allowing 37 points or more last game. 6-0 OVER in all games. 12-3 OVER after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more.

Auburn Tigers:  J. Johnson (WR) Ques Sat - Elbow. M. Johnson Jr. (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Alston (RB) Doub Sat - Shoulder. M. Nasili-Kite (DL) out for season - Bicep. K. Scott (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. A. Keys (LB) Out indefinitely - Thumb.

LSU Tigers:  C. Hilton Jr. (WR) Doub Sat - Lower Body. A. Anderson (WR) Prob Sat - Hamstring. D. Chestnut (CB) Out indefinitely - Personal. A. Goodwin (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. G. Brooks Jr. (S) out for season - Head. J. Johnson (CB) Early Dec - Leg.

“I’m really proud of our kids, but it hurts in there right now. And that’s good to see. It hurts. It hurts those kids and our coaches, and our fans I’m sure, too. You have a chance to beat the No. 1 team in the country — back-to-back national champions — at home. The feeling that you get if you can pull that off is just ecstatic.” - Hugh Freeze after his team’s loss against Georgia in their last game. 

“We were battling. All I know is when we got down, I just felt like the way the game was going, if we just got one more score, we could get back into it. I knew we were settling in defensively. Felt like we had a chance to get back in the game and win it. I didn't lose that confidence." - Brian Kelly after his team’s win against Mizzou in their last game. 

WR Hooks, Shane 

WR Shorter, Jyaire 

WR Fair, Jay  

TE Fairweather, Rivaldo 

QB Thorne, Payton 

RB Hunter, Jarquez

WR Thomas Jr., Brian 

WR Nabers, Malik 

WR Lacy, Kyren

TE Taylor, Mason 

QB Daniels, Jayden 

RB Diggs, Logan 

Passing: P. Thorne (643)

Rushing: J. Hunter (202)

Receiving: J. Fair (196)

Touchdowns: R. Ashford (5)

Passing: J. Daniels (1970)

Rushing: L. Diggs (488)

Receiving: M. Nabers (771)

Touchdowns: B. Thomas Jr. (9)

Coaches:

Auburn Tigers: Hugh Freeze (1st season)

LSU Tigers: Brian Kelly (2nd season)