Auburn Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/01/2025

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 1, 2025

Venue:  Rupp Arena, Lexington, KY

Where to Watch:  ABC, ESPN+

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Auburn -4.5, Kentucky +4.5; Over/Under:  167.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Auburn -4.5, Kentucky +4.5; Over/Under:  167.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Auburn -4.5, Kentucky +4.5; Over/Under:  167.5 points

Auburn Tigers:  26-2 (14-1) (1st place, SEC)

Kentucky Wildcats:  19-9 (8-7) (7th place, SEC)

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Auburn Tigers:  5-0  last 5

Kentucky Wildcats:  3-2  last 5

Auburn is entering this game with a 26-2 record overall, a 14-1 record in conference games, and they are 7-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Ole Miss Rebels in their last game. Johni Broome led the team in points per game in that game with 24 while Chad Baker-Mazara was next on the team with 22. Tahaad Pettiford led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Johni Broome led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 59.6% from the field, 52.4% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.4 PPG against them. Auburn has an ATS record of 16-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 17-11.

Kentucky is entering this game with a 19-9 record overall, an 8-7 conference record, and they are 14-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Oklahoma Sooners in their last game. Otega Oweh led the team in points in that game with 28 while Brandon Garrison was next on the team with 12. Lamont Butler led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Koby Brea led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 50% from the field, 30.4% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 76.6 PPG against them. Kentucky has an ATS record of 14-14 this season and their O/U record is 15-13.

The current betting odds have Auburn listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Auburn has looked great in their games this season with their 26-2 record overall and their 14-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the SEC. They have been a great road team too with their 7-1 road record this year. Meanwhile, Kentucky has looked good in their games this season with their 19-9 record overall and their 8-7 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They have looked great on their home court too with their 14-2 home record, but they haven't been an elite team in the conference. They are ranked inside the top 25, but they have been losing a lot of big games this year as they have struggled with the stronger teams in the SEC. They are coming off a road win over Oklahoma in their last one, but they only won that game by 1 point in a tight game and are 3-2 in their last 5 games too. Auburn has a ton of momentum on their side right now with 5 wins in a row, coming off another double digit win over Ole Miss in their last one, and they are ranked as the best team in the nation with only 2 losses all season. They have beaten a lot of good teams this season and they have been rolling a lot of teams by double digits in their games too. Kentucky may be ranked inside the top 25, but they haven't played like a ranked team at times and they definitely aren't an elite team like Auburn. The best way to place a bet here is on Auburn to cover the spread in this game. 

Auburn Kentucky Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 1, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Auburn 79 Kentucky 70.

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Auburn Tigers: 3-11 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. 10-4 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% of their attempts or more. 28-18 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 27-19 OVER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more.

Kentucky Wildcats: 15-6 ATS as an underdog. 24-18 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more. 35-17 OVER in all home games. 9-3 OVER in a home game where the total is 160 to 169.5. 20-7 OVER after playing a road game.

Auburn Tigers:  None.

Kentucky Wildcats:  K. Kriisa (G) Out - Foot.

“He’s a brilliant offensive coach. And he’s got a dangerous team because of the way they shoot the basketball. They run the most advanced five-out system in our game today.” - Bruce Pearl on Mark Pope and his team’s upcoming game against UK on Saturday.

"Jax's wrist didn't respond great tonight. So we'll see how that is going forward." - Mark Pope on Jaxson Robinson after his team’s win against OU in their last game. 

C. Baker-Mazara 

J. Broome 

D. Cardwell 

D. Jones 

M. Kelly

L. Butler 

A. Carr 

O. Oweh 

J. Robinson 

A. Williams

PPG: J. Broome (18.8)

APG: J. Broome (3.4)

Reb/G: J. Broome (11)

PPG: O. Oweh (16.1)

APG: L. Butler (4.7)

Reb/G: A. Williams (8.6)

Coaches:

Auburn Tigers: Bruce Pearl (11th season)

Kentucky Wildcats: Mark Pope (1st season)