Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 16, 2021
Venue: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Auburn +3.5, Arkansas -3.5; Over/Under: 53 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Auburn +3.5, Arkansas -3.5; Over/Under: 53 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Auburn +3.5, Arkansas -3.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Auburn Tigers: 4-2 (3rd place, SEC West)
Arkansas Razorbacks: 4-2 (6th place, SEC West)
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Auburn Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Preview and Analysis
Auburn Tigers: lost at home on Oct. 9 against the Georgia Bulldogs 34-10.
Arkansas Razorbacks: lost on the road on Oct. 9 against the Ole Miss Rebels 52-51.
Auburn Tigers Analysis
Auburn is coming into this game with a 4-2 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 3rd conference matchup of the year and they are currently 1-1 in their conference games this season. Their 1 win came against the LSU Tigers while their 1 loss was against Georgia in their last game. They lost 34-10 in that game but they did manage to score 10 points on a team that had shut out their previous 2 opponents. Bo Nix played alright but he also struggled at times as he completed 21/38 passes for 217 yards and 1 interception. Cartavious Bigsby led the team in rushing with 28 yards and 1 touchdown on 10 carries but they did not get anything going on the ground in that one. Demetris Robertson led the receivers with 59 yards on 1 reception while Kobe Hudson was right behind him with 50 yards on 5 receptions. Overall, it was a very quiet day for this offense against a very good defense. Bydarrius Knighten led the defense with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones in that game. Zion Puckett also played well with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted ones while Chandler Wooten was right behind him with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Eku Leota came away from that game with the only sack for his team and no one on the defense came away with an interception. They have scored 210 points in their first 6 games averaging 35 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 115 points against them allowing 19.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 451.7 YPG while their defense is allowing 324.5 YPG.
Arkansas Razorbacks Analysis
Arkansas is coming into this game with a 4-2 record overall and they are 3-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 4th conference matchup on their schedule and they are already in bad shape with a 1-2 record in their conference games this season. Their 1 win came against the Texas A&M Aggies while their 2 losses were against the Georgia Bulldogs and the Ole Miss in their last game. They lost that game 52-51 in a game where they were trailing the whole time but the game was really a back and forth shootout that came down to Arkansas missing the 2 point conversion to win the game which ended up making them lose instead of kicking the extra point and sending it into OT. KJ Jefferson had a pretty good game in that one as he completed 25/35 passes for 326 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception. Raheim Sanders led the team in rushing with 139 yards on 17 carries while Trelon Smith had 85 yards rushing and 1 touchdown on 11 carries. Jefferson also carried the ball 20 times himself for 85 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Overall, it was a great day for the ground game. Treylon Burks led the receivers with 136 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 receptions while Warren Thompson also had a nice day with 76 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions. Bumper Pool led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 7 assisted ones while Hayden Henry was right behind him with 5 solo tackles and 6 assisted ones. No one on the defense recorded a sack or came away with an interception in that game. They have scored 194 points in their first 6 games averaging 32.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 147 points against them allowing 24.5 PPG. Their offense is averaging 460.5 YPG and their defense is allowing 337.5 YPG.
Auburn vs Arkansas Prediction
Arkansas is coming off of a very high scoring game where they got into a shootout with Ole Miss but their defense has been good in all of their other games this year. They are still allowing less than 25 points per game and they are not allowing too many yards either. Auburn has also had a good defense all year and is playing even better as they are allowing less than 20 points per game and not too many yards either. This will be a very low scoring with these 2 defenses and running games taking this game over. The best bet to place in this game is on the under as it will be a low scoring game where neither team scores too many points.
Auburn Arkansas Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 16, 2021 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Arkansas 20 Auburn 10.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Auburn Tigers: 134-153 O/U in all games. 47-68 O/U as an underdog. 26-33 O/U as a road underdog. 96-107 O/U against conference opponents.
Arkansas Razorbacks: 64-55 ATS as a home favorite. 99-86 ATS in home games. 127-111 ATS against conference opponents.
Auburn Tigers: O. Pappoe (LB) day-to-day - Leg injury. B. Patton (K) day-to-day - Lower Body injury. T. Moultry (DE) day-to-day - Undisclosed injury.
Arkansas Razorbacks: D. Gerald (DL) out for season - Leg injury.
Players to Watch
Auburn Tigers: Bo Nix is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in passing yards and he is coming off of a bad game where the offense did not do much against the best defense in the country. He will be looking to play much better in this game so look for him to make the big plays and lead his offense here to score some points and go for the win.
Arkansas Razorbacks: Treylon Burks is one player to watch here. He leads his team in receiving yards this season. He is coming off of a great game where he had over 100 yards receiving and he will be looking to continue that into this game. He is a big part of this offense and his team will be hungry to win here after losing to Ole Miss by 1 point in a heartbreaking fashion. Look for him to make some big catches down the field in this game.
"We've got to finish drives. That's the most frustrating thing right now. We can drive the field and that really doesn't matter if you don't put points on the board." - Bryan Harsin after their loss to Georgia.
"We had three options on the two-point play. We could pitch, pass or run and we felt confident. They made the play." - Sam Pittman on the final play call going for 2 points instead of the extra point to tie the game.
WR Jackson, Shedrick
WR Robertson, Demetris
WR Johnson, Ja'Varrius
TE Shenker, John Samuel
QB Nix, Bo
RB Bigsby, Tank
WR Morris, Tyson
WR Warren, De'Vion
WR Burks, Treylon
TE Kern, Blake
QB Jefferson, KJ
RB Smith, Trelon
Passing: B. Nix (1196)
Rushing: J. Hunter (465)
Receiving: K. Hudson (267)
Touchdowns: E. Leota (4)
Sacks: C. Wooten (23)
Tackles: Z. McClain (10)
Passing: K. Jefferson (1235)
Rushing: T. Smith (387)
Receiving: T. Burks (519)
Touchdowns: K. Jefferson (5)
Sacks: T. Williams (4)
Tackles: B. Pool (24)
Auburn Tigers: Bryan Harsin (1st season)
Arkansas Razorbacks: Sam Pittman (2nd season)
64 degrees F sunny, 57% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 12 mph wind speeds NW.