Auburn Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/30/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 30, 2024

Venue:  Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Auburn +11.5, Alabama -11.5; Over/Under:  52.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Auburn +11.5, Alabama -11.5; Over/Under:  52.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Auburn +11.5, Alabama -11.5; Over/Under:  52.5 points

Auburn Tigers:  5-6 (2-5) (14th place, SEC)

Alabama Crimson Tide:  8-3 (4-3) (7th place, SEC)

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Auburn Tigers:  won their last game at home against the Texas A&M Aggies 43-41 in overtime.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  lost their last game on the road against the Oklahoma Sooners 24-3.

Auburn is entering this game with a 5-6 record overall and they have a 2-5 record in their conference games too. They are 4-4 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Texas A&M 43-41 in OT. Payton Thorne was the starting QB and he completed 19/31 passes for 301 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jarquez Hunter led the team in rushing yards with 130 and 3 TDs. Cam Coleman led the receivers with 128 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Jerrin Thompson led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jalen McLeod, Dorian Mausi Jr., Philip Blidi, and Demarcus Riddick each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jerrin Thompson came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Alabama is entering this game with an 8-3 record overall and they have a 4-3 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Oklahoma 24-3. Jalen Milroe was the starting QB and he completed 11/26 passes for 164 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jamarion Miller led the team in rushing yards with 45. Germie Bernard led the receivers with 60 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Brayson Hubbard led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Malachi Moore led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Auburn listed as an 11.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Auburn hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 5-6 record overall and their 2-5 conference record which has them near the bottom of the SEC. They are coming off a win against Texas A&M in their last one and they have looked a lot better in their games lately. They have been putting up more points lately and they are going to bring their best effort for their rival, especially when they have a chance to not only spoil Alabama's playoff hopes, but Auburn also needs the win to become bowl eligible. Meanwhile, Alabama has looked good in their games this season with their 8-3 record overall and their 4-3 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They have some good wins this season, but they have also taken some really bad losses like last week, coming off a loss to a terrible Oklahoma team and only putting up 3 points in that game. They will be looking to bounce back here and have looked better in their home games with their 6-0 home record, but this was a game they almost lost last season and Auburn will leave everything on the field to win this game. Alabama really hasn't looked that great lately with their up and down performances and Auburn has looked a lot better in their games lately, they can keep this game closer. The best way to place a bet here is on Auburn to cover the spread in this game. 

Auburn Alabama Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 30, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Alabama 24 Auburn 21.

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Auburn Tigers: 1-7 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 5-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 5-9 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 11-6 OVER as an underdog. 5-1 OVER as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 

Alabama Crimson Tide: 13-6 ATS as a home favorite. 9-5 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 7-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 8-2 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 9-5 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more.

Auburn Tigers:  R. Fairweather (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Frazier (TE) Out - Foot. A. McPherson (K) Out - Undisclosed. J. Waller (DE) Out - Undisclosed. T. Scott (CB) Out - Undisclosed. C. Anthony (CB) Out - Undisclosed. B. Battie (RB) Out - Head.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  K. Sabb (DB) Out - Lower Body. D. Lawson (LB) Out - Undisclosed. Q. Robinson (LB) Out - Elbow. C. Adams (WR) Out - Lower Leg.

“It’s been that kind of year where you just battle through and you fight through and you keep climbing cliffs. Our locker room has continued to fight and no matter what people say, they just have chosen to say we’re going to fight to the finish.” - Hugh Freeze after his team’s win against Texas A&M in their last game. 

“Obviously extremely disappointed, frustrated. We worked, I thought, extremely hard all week. Put a plan together ... Good energy. Excited to come here on the road. We’ve got to play better. We got to be better in all ways.” - Kalen DeBoer after his team’s loss against OU in their last game. 

WR Coleman, Cam

WR Lambert-Smith, KeAndre

WR Lewis, Robert 

TE Fairweather, Rivaldo 

QB Brown, Hank 

RB Hunter, Jarquez

WR Williams, Ryan 

WR Bernard, Germie 

WR Law, Kendrick  

TE Dippre, CJ

TE Ouzts, Robbie

QB Milroe, Jalen

RB Miller, Jam

Passing: P. Thorne (2412)

Rushing: J. Hunter (1145)

Receiving: K. Lambert-Smith (865)

Touchdowns: J. Hunter (9)

Passing: J. Milroe (2396)

Rushing: J. Milroe (615)

Receiving: R. Williams (804)

Touchdowns: J. Milroe (17)

Coaches:

Auburn Tigers: Hugh Freeze (2nd season)

Alabama Crimson Tide: Kalen DeBoer (1st season)