Atlanta Falcons vs Tennessee Titans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/29/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Oct 24, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 29, 2023
Venue:  Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Falcons -2.5, Titans +2.5; Over/Under:  36.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Falcons -2, Titans +2; Over/Under:  36.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Falcons -2.5, Titans +2.5; Over/Under:  36.5 points

Season Record

Atlanta Falcons:  4-3 (1st place, NFC South)
Tennessee Titans:  2-4 (4th place, AFC South)

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Recent Form
Atlanta Falcons:  won their last game on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16-13.
Tennessee Titans:  lost their last game at a neutral site against the Baltimore Ravens 24-16.


Atlanta Falcons vs Tennessee Titans Preview and Analysis


The Falcons are entering this game with a 4-3 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16-13. Desmond Ridder was the starting QB and he completed 19/25 passes for 250 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Tyler Allgeier led the team in rushing yards with 59. Drake London led the receivers with 54 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Nate Landman led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Calais Campbell, David Onyemata, and Lorenzo Carter each led the defense in sacks with 1. Richie Grant came away with the only interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Titans are entering this game with a 2-4 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 24-16. Ryan Tannehill was the starting QB and he completed 8/16 passes for 76 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception before leaving injured and being replaced by Malik Willis who completed 4/5 passes for 74 yards. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 97 and 1 TD. Tyjae Spears led the receivers with 48 receiving yards on 1 reception. Azeez Al-Shaair led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Harold Landry III led the defense in sacks with 1. Sean Murphy-Bunting came away with the only interception for them in that game.


Falcons vs Titans Prediction

The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons are 4-3 this season and have been playing a lot better lately as they just beat the Bucs on the road, winning their 1st road game of the season, and they now have the lead in their division too. Meanwhile, the Titans have been terrible this season with their 2-4 record overall and they are sitting at the bottom of their division which they were expected to be competitive in at least. The Titans have played a lot better in their home games this year and they are coming off their bye too but they are also without their starting QB Ryan Tannehill and they don't really have a reliable replacement to run the offense in this game. The Falcons defense has also been playing a lot better lately since they haven't been giving up many points and they are going to have a good time with the Titans offense here who is going to have a lot of uncertainties on the field. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game. 

Falcons Titans Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 29, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Falcons 21 Titans 13.
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NFL Betting Trends


Atlanta Falcons: 1-5 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 35-60 ATS off a win against a division rival. 2-7 ATS after a win by 3 or less points. 26-15 UNDER in all games. 13-7 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 16-7 UNDER against AFC South division opponents.

Tennessee Titans: 15-8 ATS as an underdog. 6-1 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 14-6 ATS against NFC South division opponents. 27-14 UNDER in all games. 15-5 UNDER in home games. 8-2 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 

Key Injuries


Atlanta Falcons:  B. Robinson (RB) day-to-day - Illness. J. Ali (WR) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Andersen (LB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Hennessy (OL) I-R - Knee. A. Ogundeji (LB) I-R - Ankle. F. Franks (TE) I-R - Lower Body. E. Greenidge (OL) I-R - Leg. I. Enechukwu (DL) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Williams (RB) I-R - Knee.

Tennessee Titans:  R. Tannehill (QB) Ques Week 8 - Ankle. L. Gifford (LB) Ques Week 8 - Hamstring. T. Burks (WR) Ques Week 8 - Knee. T. Tart (DT) Ques Week 8 - Toe. E. Molden (CB) Ques Week 8 - Hamstring. C. Moore (WR) Ques Week 8 - Concussion. J. Whyle (TE) Ques Week 8 - Concussion. W. Levis (QB) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. M. Brown (S) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Chestnut (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Jackson (WR) Out indefinitely - Ankle. C. Farley (CB) Out indefinitely - Back. H. Haskins (RB) I-R - Undisclosed. S. Brown (DT) I-R - Ankle. N. Petit-Frere (OL) Elig Week 8 - Suspension.

Notable Quotes


“I'll say this about Des, he sat in there and delivered some big-time throws, especially when we needed it late." - Arthur Smith after his team’s win against the Buccaneers in their last game. 


“We put some plays together, we just didn’t finish. That’s on us for execution.” - Derrick Henry after their loss against the Ravens in their last game.


Starting Lineups


Atlanta Falcons
WR London, Drake 
WR Hollins, Mack 
TE Pitts, Kyle
TE Smith, Jonnu 
QB Ridder, Desmond 
RB Robinson, Bijan 
FB SMITH, KEITH

Tennessee Titans
WR HOPKINS, DEANDRE 
WR Burks, Treylon 
WR Westbrook-Ikhine, Nick 
TE Okonkwo, Chigoziem 
QB TANNEHILL, RYAN 
RB Henry, Derrick 

Statistical Leaders


Atlanta Falcons
Passing: D. Ridder (1630)
Rushing: B. Robinson (404)
Receiving: D. London (383)
Touchdowns: D. Ridder (3)

Tennessee Titans
Passing: R. Tannehill (1128)
Rushing: D. Henry (425)
Receiving: D. Hopkins (376)
Touchdowns: D. Henry (3)

Coaches:
Atlanta Falcons: Arthur Smith (3rd season)
Tennessee Titans: Mike Vrabel (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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