Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/22/2023

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 22, 2023

Venue:  Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Falcons +2.5, Bucs -2.5; Over/Under:  38.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Falcons +2.5, Bucs -2.5; Over/Under:  38.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Falcons +2.5, Bucs -2.5; Over/Under:  38.5 points

Atlanta Falcons:  3-3 (2nd place, NFC South)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  3-2 (1st place, NFC South)

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Atlanta Falcons:  lost their last game at home against the Washington Commanders 24-16.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  lost their last game at home against the Detroit Lions 20-6.

The Falcons are entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Washington Commanders 24-16. Desmond Ridder was the starting QB and he completed 28/47 passes for 307 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Tyler Allgeier led the team in rushing yards with 51. Drake London led the receivers with 125 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Nate Landman led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Bud Dupree and Arnold Ebiketie each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Detroit Lions 20-6. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 19/37 passes for 206 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Rachaad White led the team in rushing yards with 26. Chris Godwin led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Lavonte David led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Lavonte David, Joe Tryon-Shoyinka, and Calijah Kancey each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Buccaneers listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Buccaneers have been good this season with their 3-2 record overall and they are going to be looking to bounce back here after coming out of their bye week and losing a game at home to the Lions. The Lions have been really good this season though with their 5-1 record overall so the Bucs are going to have a much easier time at home in this game against a weaker opponent. The Falcons just lost their last game at home to the Commanders but they have also been a lot better in their home games with Desmond Ridder than they have been in their road games. This is also a big divisional game so the Bucs will be ready for this and they have a much better defense to get some stops on this shaky Falcons offense. Baker Mayfield has been a good fit in this offense too and they bounced back in a big way after they lost their 1st game, they will bounce back at home here too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Buccaneers to cover the spread in this game. 

Falcons Buccaneers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 22, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Buccaneers 24 Falcons 13.

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Atlanta Falcons: 6-2 ATS off a home loss. 13-7 ATS after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. 25-15 UNDER in all games. 16-9 UNDER as an underdog. 15-5 UNDER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 3-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 21-31 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points. 11-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 5-1 UNDER off a home loss. 22-10 UNDER against conference opponents.

Atlanta Falcons:  J. Ali (WR) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Andersen (LB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Hennessy (OL) I-R - Knee. A. Ogundeji (LB) I-R - Ankle. F. Franks (TE) I-R - Lower Body. E. Greenidge (OL) I-R - Leg. I. Enechukwu (DL) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Williams (RB) I-R - Knee.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  B. Mayfield (QB) day-to-day - Hand. D. Pitts (CB) day-to-day - Hamstring. A. Nelson (LB) day-to-day - Concussion. C. Edmonds (RB) Early Nov - Knee. R. Jensen (C) I-R - Knee. R. Gage (WR) I-R - Knee.

“Obviously, that’s tough right there to go out there and put up that showing. We had plenty of opportunities to go down and put points on the board.” - Desmond Ridder after their loss against the Commanders in their last game. 

“They did a good job on third down. I think we were 2 for 12 on third down, which is not very good at all.” - Todd Bowles after his team’s loss against the Lions in their last game. 

WR London, Drake 

WR Hollins, Mack 

TE Pitts, Kyle

TE Smith, Jonnu 

QB Ridder, Desmond 

RB Robinson, Bijan 

FB SMITH, KEITH

WR EVANS, MIKE 

WR Godwin, Chris 

WR Palmer, Trey

TE Otton, Cade 

QB Mayfield, Baker 

RB White, Rachaad

Passing: D. Ridder (1380)

Rushing: B. Robinson (401)

Receiving: D. London (329)

Touchdowns: T. Allgeier (2)

Passing: B. Mayfield (1088)

Rushing: R. White (232)

Receiving: M. Evans (386)

Touchdowns: M. Evans (3)

Coaches:

Atlanta Falcons: Arthur Smith (3rd season)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (2nd season)