Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/09/2022

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 9, 2022

Venue:  Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Where to Watch:  Fox

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Falcons +8.5, Buccaneers -8.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Falcons +8, Buccaneers -8; Over/Under:  48 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Falcons +8.5, Buccaneers -8.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

 

Atlanta Falcons:  2-2 (2nd place, NFC South)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  2-2 (1st place, NFC South)

 

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Atlanta Falcons:  won their last game at home against the Cleveland Browns 23-20.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  lost their last game at home against the Kansas City Chiefs 41-31.

 

The Falcons are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they are playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 1-1 in their road games this year. Their offense is averaging 349 YPG and 25.8 PPG while their defense is allowing 386.3 YPG and 25.3 PPG against them. They won their last game at home against the Cleveland Browns 23-20. Marcus Mariota was the starting quarterback in that game and he completed 7/19 passes for 139 yards and 1 interception. Tyler Allgeier led the team in rushing with 84 yards on 10 rushing attempts. Olamide Zaccheaus led the team in receiving with 55 yards on 2 receptions. Mykal Walker led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. Grady Jarrett led the defense in sacks with 1 while Dee Alford came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they are playing their 3rd home game of the season here as they are 0-2 in their home games this year. Their offense is averaging 317 YPG and 20.5 PPG while their defense is allowing 321 YPG and 17 PPG against them. They lost their last game at home against the Kansas City Chiefs 41-31. Tom Brady was the starting QB in that game and he completed 39/52 passes for 385 yards and 3 touchdowns. Rachaad White led the team in rushing with 6 yards and 1 TD on 3 carries. Mike Evans led the team in receiving with 103 yards and 2 TDs on 8 catches. Devin White led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. Mike Edwards, Carl Nassib, and Anthony Nelson each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Sean Murphy-Bunting came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as an 8.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons have been playing very well this year with their 2-2 start and have been surprising a lot of people with their level of play in their games. They have already put up some good scores on the road this year and they have a perfect 4-0 ATS record this season. They won each of their last 2 games as underdogs too and now they are getting more than a touchdown here in a very important divisional game. They almost got a divisional win in their 1st game of the season against the Saints but blew that lead in the 2nd half. The Bucs offense hasn't been great to start the season though. The Bucs are also 2-2 after losing their last 2 games at home and even though they put up 31 points in their last game, they were forced to score so much because they were playing from behind and that will likely not be the case here. Tom Brady hasn't looked great this year as he struggles to get his offense going but the defense has been their strength and they will give themselves a chance to win with that good defense. The Falcons offense has been surprisingly good though as they have been moving the ball well in their games and they have the tendency to hang around in all of their games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread here as the Bucs will win but not by much.

 

Falcons Buccaneers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 9, 2022 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Buccaneers 27 Falcons 21.

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Atlanta Falcons: 10-17 ATS against conference opponents. 6-16 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog. 50-29 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 24-18 ATS in all games. 13-7 ATS in home games. 13-7 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 

 

 

Atlanta Falcons:  C. Ridley (WR) out for season - Suspension. C. Patterson (RB) Out indefinitely - Knee. I. Oliver (CB) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  T. Brady (QB) day-to-day - Shoulder. J. Jones (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. C. Brate (TE) day-to-day - Concussion.

 

 

“It’s always, ‘He’s just a receiver. He doesn’t want to block. So when it’s time for me to get in the box and it’s time for us to block and get the running back forward, I take pride in that.” - Kyle Pitts after their win against the Browns in their last game.

 

 

"Everything in this game fell on the defensive side of the ball. You name it we did it. Missed tackles. Missed assignments. Bad calls." - Todd Bowles after his team’s loss against the Chiefs in their last game.

 

 

 

WR London, Drake 

WR Hodge, KhaDarel 

WR Zaccheaus, Olamide 

TE Pitts, Kyle

QB Mariota, Marcus

RB Allgeier, Tyler 

FB SMITH, KEITH 

 

WR Evans, Mike

WR Godwin, Chris 

WR Gage, Russell 

TE Otton, Cade

QB BRADY, TOM

RB Fournette, Leonard 

 

 

Passing: M. Mariota (779)

Rushing: C. Patterson (340)

Receiving: D. London (231)

Touchdowns: C. Patterson (3)

 

Passing: T. Brady (1058)

Rushing: L. Fournette (224)

Receiving: M. Evans (235)

Touchdowns: M. Evans (3)

 

Coaches:

Atlanta Falcons: Arthur Smith (2nd season)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (1st season)