by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Tuesday, Dec 14, 2021
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, December 19, 2021
Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Falcons +8.5, 49ers -8.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Falcons +8.5, 49ers -8.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Falcons +8.5, 49ers -8.5; Over/Under: 46 points
Season Record
Atlanta Falcons: 6-7 (2nd place, NFC South)
San Francisco 49ers: 7-6 (3rd place, NFC West)
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Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Atlanta Falcons: won on the road on Dec. 12 against the Carolina Panthers 29-21.
San Francisco 49ers: won on the road on Dec. 12 against the Cincinnati Bengals in overtime 26-23.
Atlanta Falcons Analysis
The Falcons are coming into this game with a 6-7 record overall and they are 5-2 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers while their 2 wins in that span came against the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Carolina Panthers in their last game. Matt Ryan completed 19/28 passes for 190 yards and 1 touchdown. Cordarrelle Patterson led the team in rushing with 58 yards and 1 touchdown on 16 carries while Mike Davis had 44 yards on 11 carries. Russell Gage led the receivers with 64 yards on 4 receptions while Kyle Pitts had 61 yards on 5 receptions. Hayden Hurst caught the lone touchdown pass in that one. Deion Jones led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Dante Fowler Jr. recorded the only sack in that game for them while A.J. Terrell and Mykal Walker both came up with 1 interception each in that one. They have scored 245 points in their 13 games this season averaging 18.9 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 353 points against them allowing 27.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 316.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 364.5 YPG.
San Francisco 49ers Analysis
The 49ers are coming into this game with a 7-6 record overall and they are 2-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Seattle Seahawks while their 4 wins in that span came against the Los Angeles Rams, the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Minnesota Vikings, and the Cincinnati Bengals in their last game. Jimmy Garoppolo completed 27/41 passes for 296 yards and 2 touchdowns in that one. Jeffrey Wilson led the team in rushing with 56 yards on 13 carries while Deebo Samuel had 37 yards and 1 touchdown on 8 carries. Tight end George Kittle had a very nice day as he led the receivers with 151 yards and 1 touchdown on 13 receptions while Brandon Aiyuk had 62 yards and 1 touchdown on 6 receptions. Azeez Al-Shaair led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Nick Bosa led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 329 points in their 13 games this season averaging 25.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 301 points against them allowing 23.2 PPG. The 49ers offense is averaging 364.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 325.4 YPG.
Falcons vs 49ers Prediction
The Falcons are coming into this matchup as an 8.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams have been playing much better in recent games in what looked like it was going to be short seasons for both. The Falcons have been winning more games but even in their losses, they are hanging around and not getting blown out in those games. The 49ers have also been winning a lot of games recently but they are not blowing teams out and have won a few games barely in that span. The 49ers have also been awful at home this season with a losing record there while the Falcons have been great on the road this season winning most of their games on the road. The best bet to place in this game is on the Falcons to cover the spread here.
Falcons 49ers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 19, 2021 (4:05 pm ET start time) is 49ers 27 Falcons 21.
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NFL Betting Trends
Atlanta Falcons: 9-17 O/U as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points. 6-11 O/U off 1 or more straight overs. 4-7 O/U after having won 2 out of their last 3 games. 3-6 O/U off a road win. 5-11 O/U after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. 7-13 O/U after playing their last game on the road.
San Francisco 49ers: 6-11 ATS as a home favorite. 3-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points. 2-6 ATS after a 2 game road trip. 2-8 ATS after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game.
Key Injuries
Atlanta Falcons: E. Ellerbee (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. E. Harris (S) out for season - Pectoral injury. J. Bullard (DL) day-to-day - Knee injury.
San Francisco 49ers: A. Thomas (CB) day-to-day - Head injury. D. Greenlaw (LB) day-to-day - Abdominal injury. D. Ford (DL) day-to-day - Concussion.
Notable Quotes
"The guys made a commitment to shut down the run game. Defense did a nice job getting three takeaways. We played great complementary football." - Arthur Smith on his team’s win against the Panthers in their last game.
"If we just keep winning, we don't have to look at anybody else." - Kyle Shanahan on the NFC Wild Card race after a win against the Bengals in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Atlanta Falcons
WR Sharpe, Tajae
WR Gage, Russell
TE Hurst, Hayden
TE/FB Smith, Keith
QB RYAN, MATT
RB PATTERSON, CORDARRELLE
RB Davis, Mike
San Francisco 49ers
WR Brandon Aiyuk
WR Samuel, Deebo
TE Kittle, George
QB Garoppolo, Jimmy
RB Elijah Mitchell
FB JUSZCZYK, KYLE
Statistical Leaders
Atlanta Falcons
Passing: M. Ryan (3104)
Rushing: C. Patterson (547)
Receiving: K. Pitts (770)
Touchdowns: C. Patterson (10)
San Francisco 49ers
Passing: J. Garoppolo (2937)
Rushing: E. Mitchell (759)
Receiving: D. Samuel (1028)
Touchdowns: D. Samuel (11)
Coaches:
Atlanta Falcons: Arthur Smith (1st season)
San Francisco 49ers: Kyle Shanahan (5th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
