by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 29, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 3, 2023
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Falcons -2.5, Jets +2.5; Over/Under: 34 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Falcons -2.5, Jets +2.5; Over/Under: 34 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Falcons -2.5, Jets +2.5; Over/Under: 34 points
Season Record
Atlanta Falcons: 5-6 (1st place, NFC South)
New York Jets: 4-7 (3rd place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
Atlanta Falcons: won their last game at home against the New Orleans Saints 24-15.
New York Jets: lost their last game at home against the Miami Dolphins 34-13.
Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets Preview and Analysis
The Falcons are entering this game with a 5-6 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 24-15. Desmond Ridder was the starting QB and he completed 13/21 passes for 168 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 91 and 1 TD. Drake London led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Jessie Bates III led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Arnold Ebiketie led the defense in sacks with 1. Jessie Bates III came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Jets are entering this game with a 4-7 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Miami Dolphins 34-13. Tim Boyle was the starting QB and he completed 27/38 passes for 179 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 25. Garrett Wilson led the receivers with 44 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. C.J. Mosley led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Bryce Huff led the defense in sacks with 1. D.J. Reed and Brandin Echols each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Falcons vs Jets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons haven't looked great this season with their 5-6 record overall but that is the best record in the NFC South right now. They lead the division with that record but they haven't been as good in their road games with their 1-3 road record. The Jets have looked a lot worse this season though with their 4-7 record overall and they haven't even been good in their home games either with their 2-4 home record. They were just blown out at home on Black Friday in their last game and the offense didn't look any better with Tim Boyle running the show. The Falcons haven't been great in their road games this year but they do have a solid running game to lean on and with the way the Jets offense has been, they won't need to score many points to win this game and cover. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game.
Falcons Jets Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 3, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Falcons 23 Jets 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Atlanta Falcons: 3-8 ATS in all games. 6-12 ATS as a favorite. 18-37 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 27-18 UNDER in all games. 7-1 UNDER in all games where the total is 35 or less. 11-6 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins.
New York Jets: 23-16 ATS after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game. 18-6 ATS after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games. 10-3 UNDER as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 12-5 UNDER in a home game where the total is 35 or less.
Key Injuries
Atlanta Falcons: M. Hollins (WR) Ques Sun - Ankle. M. Hughes (CB) Ques Sun - Hand. L. London (DL) Out indefinitely - Knee. G. Jarrett (DL) I-R - Knee. J. Ali (WR) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Andersen (LB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Hennessy (OL) I-R - Knee. A. Ogundeji (LB) I-R - Ankle. F. Franks (TE) I-R - Lower Body. E. Greenidge (OL) I-R - Leg. I. Enechukwu (DL) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Williams (RB) I-R - Knee.
New York Jets: M. Carter II (CB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. S. Eguavoen (LB) Ques Sun - Hip. K. Yeboah (TE) Ques Sun - Hamstring. M. Becton (OT) Early Dec - Ankle. A. Woods (DL) I-R - Achilles. W. Schweitzer (OL) Out indefinitely - Calf. C. McGovern (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Hardee (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Vera-Tucker (G) I-R - Achilles. A. Rodgers (QB) I-R - Ankle. I. Odenigbo (DE) I-R - Undisclosed. M. Hall (LB) I-R - Undisclosed. C. Clark (S) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“That was encouraging. That's where we need to be to close out the game.” - Arthur Smith after his team’s win against the Saints in their last game.
“We took our shot off the interception to try to get one more (score). Just a very unfortunate play at the end of the half.” - Robert Saleh after his team’s loss against the Dolphins in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Atlanta Falcons
WR London, Drake
WR Jefferson, Van
TE Pitts, Kyle
TE Smith, Jonnu
QB Ridder, Desmond
RB Robinson, Bijan
FB Smith, Keith
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Brownlee, Jason
WR Gipson, Xavier
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Boyle, Tim
RB Hall, Breece
FB Bawden, Nick
Statistical Leaders
Atlanta Falcons
Passing: D. Ridder (1908)
Rushing: B. Robinson (703)
Receiving: D. London (565)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (6)
New York Jets
Passing: Z. Wilson (1944)
Rushing: B. Hall (569)
Receiving: G. Wilson (695)
Touchdowns: B. Hall (4)
Coaches:
Atlanta Falcons: Arthur Smith (3rd season)
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
