by Rod Pearson
Friday, Dec 13, 2024
Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Monday, December 16, 2024
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Falcons -4, Raiders +4; Over/Under: 44 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Falcons -4, Raiders +4; Over/Under: 44.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Falcons -4, Raiders +4; Over/Under: 44 points
Season Record
Atlanta Falcons: 6-7 (2nd place, NFC South)
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-11 (4th place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Atlanta Falcons: lost their last game on the road against the Minnesota Vikings 42-21.
Las Vegas Raiders: lost their last game on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28-13.
Atlanta Falcons vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview and Analysis
The Falcons are entering this game with a 6-7 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-4 in their home games, 3-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 42-21. Kirk Cousins was the starting QB and he completed 23/37 passes for 344 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 92 and 1 TD. Darnell Mooney led the receivers with 142 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Kaden Elliss led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Kaden Elliss, Eddie Goldman, Matthew Judon, and Arnold Ebiketie each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Raiders are entering this game with a 2-11 record overall and they have a 0-5 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 1-7 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28-13. Aidan O'Connell was the starting QB and he completed 11/19 passes for 104 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception before leaving injured and getting replaced by Desmond Ridder who completed 12/18 passes for 101 yards. Sincere McCormick led the team in rushing yards with 78. Michael Mayer led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Tre'von Moehrig led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Darnay Holmes, Adam Butler, and Amari Burney each led the defense in sacks with 1. K'Lavon Chaisson and Jack Jones each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Falcons vs Raiders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons haven't looked great in their games this season with their 6-7 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NFC South. They are still in this division race with their 4-1 divisional record and only 1 game behind the leading Buccaneers, but they have looked terrible over the last few weeks as they were leading the NFC South and have let that slip away. They no longer control their own destiny, but they are coming off a terrible loss to the Vikings in their last one and will be looking to bounce back in a game they need to win to keep their division hopes alive. Meanwhile, the Raiders have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-11 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC West with one of the worst records in the entire NFL. They haven't looked any better in their home games with their 1-4 home record and they are coming off a 28-13 loss to the Bucs in their last one. Their defense has been one of the worst in the NFL this season and their offense hasn't looked good either. Now they are down to their 3rd string QB and will likely be going with Desmond Ridder who has only been on the team for a few weeks. The Raiders are in a terrible situation right now as they are looking more to next season at this point while the Falcons still have something to play for and can't afford to lose this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game.
Falcons Raiders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Monday, December 16, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Falcons 24 Raiders 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Atlanta Falcons: 0-4 ATS against AFC West division opponents. 3-11 ATS in non-conference games. 1-5 ATS after a loss by 14 or more points. 28-19 UNDER in all games. 12-2 UNDER in non-conference games. 11-4 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.
Las Vegas Raiders: 5-2 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-4 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 9-4 UNDER in non-conference games. 6-3 UNDER after a loss by 14 or more points. 9-4 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game.
Key Injuries
Atlanta Falcons: M. Judon (OLB) Injured - NIR-Rest. J. Bates (SAF) Injured - Shoulder. C. Woerner (TE) Injured - Wrist. T. Andersen (LB) Injured - Knee. D. Mooney (WR) Injured - Foot. Z. Harrison (DL) Injured - Achilles. C. Washington (WR) Injured - Concussion. R. Orhorhoro (DT) Injured - Ankle.
Las Vegas Raiders: A. Butler (DT) Injured - Concussion. A. Mattison (RB) Injured - Ankle. M. Crosby (DE) Injured - Ankle. N. Hobbs (CB) Injured - Ankle. A. O'Connell (QB) Injured - Knee. J. Meyers (WR) Injured - Ankle. J. Shorter (TE) Injured - Back. S. Webb (CB) Injured - Back.
Notable Quotes
“You just can’t have the self-inflicted wounds and expect to win football games like we had today.” - Raheem Morris after his team’s loss against the Vikings in their last game.
“I appreciate the effort, the grit, the fight. Listen, it's tough. And these guys, they're not flinching or blinking. They still believe. ... All of those guys are fighting until the very end. Proud of the effort.” - Antonio Pierce after his team’s loss against the Bucs in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Atlanta Falcons
WR Mooney, Darnell
WR McCloud III, Ray-Ray
WR London, Drake
TE Pitts, Kyle
QB Cousins, Kirk
RB Robinson, Bijan
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Marshall Jr., Terrace
WR Tucker, Tre
WR Meyers, Jakobi
TE Bowers, Brock
QB Ridder, Desmond
RB McCormick, Sincere
Statistical Leaders
Atlanta Falcons
Passing: K. Cousins (3396)
Rushing: B. Robinson (977)
Receiving: D. Mooney (873)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (9)
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: G. Minshew (2013)
Rushing: A. Mattison (320)
Receiving: B. Bowers (933)
Touchdowns: A. Mattison (4)
Coaches:
Atlanta Falcons: Raheem Morris (1st season)
Las Vegas Raiders: Antonio Pierce (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
