Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 28, 2021
Venue: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
Where to Watch: Fox
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Falcons -1, Jaguars +1; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Falcons -1, Jaguars +1; Over/Under: 46.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Falcons -1, Jaguars +1; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Season Record
Atlanta Falcons: 4-6 (4th place, NFC South)
Jacksonville Jaguars: 2-8 (4th place, AFC South)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Ben Burns is on a PERFECT 6-0 NFL (10*) RUN! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Atlanta Falcons: lost at home on Nov. 18 against the New England Patriots 25-0.
Jacksonville Jaguars: lost at home on Nov. 21 against the San Francisco 49ers 30-10.
Atlanta Falcons Analysis
The Falcons are coming into this game with a 4-6 record overall and they are 3-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Matt Ryan did not play well in that game as he completed 19/28 passes for 153 yards and 2 interceptions in a game in which his offense was completely shut out scoring 0 points. Josh Rosen and Feleipe Franks both got into the game at some point late after Ryan got hurt and both managed to throw 1 interception each. Qadree Ollison led the team in rushing with 34 yards on 9 carries but they did not have much going for them on the ground in that one. Russell Gage led the receivers with 49 yards on 5 receptions in what was a pretty quiet day for the receiving corps as well. Fabian Moreau led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. Foyesade Oluokun and Darren Hall both led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while A.J. Terrell came up with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 178 points in their 10 games this season averaging 17.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 288 points against them allowing 28.8 PPG. The Falcons’ offense is averaging 308.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 362.3 YPG.
Jacksonville Jaguars Analysis
The Jaguars are coming into this game with a 2-8 record overall and they are 2-4 in their home games this NFL season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Trevor Lawrence did not have a good game in that one as he completed 16/25 passes for 158 yards. James Robinson led the team in rushing with 29 yards and 1 touchdown on 12 carries but they did not get much going for them on the ground in that one. Marvin Jones led the receivers with 52 yards on 4 receptions while Laviska Shenault Jr. led the team in receptions with 5 for 50 yards. Myles Jack led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 7 assisted ones. Damien Wilson and Roy Robertson-Harris both recorded the only sacks in that game with 1 each while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception in that one. They have scored 159 points in their 10 games this season averaging 15.9 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 262 points against them allowing 26.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 319.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 363.1 YPG.
Falcons vs Jaguars Prediction
The Falcons are coming into this matchup as a 1-point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons might be getting Cordarrelle Patterson back for this game which will be a huge boost to their offense. Both of these teams have not been playing well at all and both have been having awful seasons but the Falcons have been doing a bit better. The Jags also just lost Jamal Agnew who has become a very key piece in their offense recently. Even without Patterson, the Falcons should be able to score more points on offense than the Jags manage to score. The best bet to place in this game is on the Falcons to cover the spread and to win straight up on the moneyline.
Falcons Jaguars Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 28, 2021 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Falcons 21 Jaguars 17.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Atlanta Falcons Jacksonville Jaguars prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.
NFL Betting Trends
Atlanta Falcons: 89-104 O/U in games where the line is +3 to -3. 232-253 O/U in all games. 106-122 O/U as a favorite. 29-40 O/U as a road favorite. 114-129 O/U in road games. 46-74 O/U in November games.
Jacksonville Jaguars: 69-81 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 204-221 ATS in all games. 126-132 ATS as an underdog. 41-51 ATS as a home underdog. 96-108 ATS in home games. 91-106 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders.
Key Injuries
Atlanta Falcons: J. Hawkins (S) Ques Sun - Ankle injury. K. Sheffield (DB) Ques Sun - Hamstring injury. C. Patterson (RB) Ques Sun - Ankle injury. Calvin Ridley (WR) Out indefinitely - Personal.
Jacksonville Jaguars: B. Linder (OL) Ques Sun - Ankle injury. J. Smith (DE) Ques Sun - Illness. J. O'Shaughnessy (TE) Ques Sun - Ankle injury. J. Agnew (WR) I-R - Hip injury.
Notable Quotes
"It's been a tough five days offensively. We haven't thrown the ball well enough, we haven't run the ball well enough." - Matt Ryan on their loss to the Patriots in their last game.
"You get your (butt) kicked and there's going to be a day where we don't get our (butt) kicked here. That's coming, and I know that guy's going to be part of it." - Urban Meyer after his team’s loss against the 49ers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Atlanta Falcons
WR Sharpe, Tajae
WR Gage, Russell
TE Pitts, Kyle
TE/FB Smith, Keith
QB RYAN, MATT
RB Davis, Mike
Jacksonville Jaguars
WR Treadwell, Laquon
WR JONES, MARVIN
WR Shenault Jr., Laviska
TE Manhertz, Chris
TE Hollister, Jacob
QB Lawrence, Trevor
RB Robinson, James
Statistical Leaders
Atlanta Falcons
Passing: M. Ryan (2427)
Rushing: C. Patterson (303)
Receiving: K. Pitts (635)
Touchdowns: C. Patterson (7)
Jacksonville Jaguars
Passing: T. Lawrence (2141)
Rushing: J. Robinson (568)
Receiving: M. Jones Jr. (486)
Touchdowns: J. Robinson (7)
Coaches:
Atlanta Falcons: Arthur Smith (1st season)
Jacksonville Jaguars: Urban Meyer (1st season)