Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/01/2023

Game Time: 9:30 am ET, Sunday, October 1, 2023

Venue:  Wembley Stadium, London, UK

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Falcons +3, Jaguars -3; Over/Under:  43 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Falcons +3, Jaguars -3; Over/Under:  43.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Falcons +3, Jaguars -3; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Atlanta Falcons:  2-1 (1st place, NFC South)

Jacksonville Jaguars:  1-2 (3rd place, AFC South)

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Atlanta Falcons:  lost their last game on the road against the Detroit Lions 20-6.

Jacksonville Jaguars:  lost their last game at home against the Houston Texans 37-17.

The Falcons are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site in England for this game. They lost their last game against the Detroit Lions 20-6. Desmond Ridder was the starting QB and he completed 21/38 passes for 201 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 33. Kyle Pitts led the receivers with 41 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Jessie Bates III led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Jessie Bates III came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Jaguars are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site in England for this game. They lost their last game against the Houston Texans 37-17. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 27/40 passes for 279 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 88. Evan Engram led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Foyesade Oluokun led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.

The current betting odds have the Jaguars listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons and the Jags are the first 2 teams this season to play on a neutral site as they will be playing the game in London, England this weekend. The Falcons enter this game with the better record overall as they are 2-1 while the Jaguars are only 1-2, but the Jags are the favorite and for good reason since they do have the better team. They will be looking to bounce back in this game too after an embarrassing loss at home to the Texans last week. The Falcons played their 1st road game of the season last week and after 2 games played at home where they looked great, they finally looked like the team they are this year in Detroit with a 20-6 loss. Their offense struggled to move the ball in that road game and even though this isn't really a road game since it is on a neutral site, it will still be really challenging for them to travel to England and play when the Jags go every year and are used to it by now. The Jags are going to bounce back in this London game and bring their record back to .500 as they drop the Falcons back to .500 too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jaguars to cover the spread in this game.

Falcons Jaguars Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 1, 2023 (9:30 am ET start time) is Jaguars 23 Falcons 13.

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Atlanta Falcons: 5-12 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 18-28 ATS after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game. 14-7 UNDER against AFC South division opponents. 12-5 UNDER after playing their last game on the road. 

Jacksonville Jaguars: 10-5 ATS off 2 consecutive home losses. 10-2 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game. 10-3 UNDER after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. 8-4 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 9-2 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 

Atlanta Falcons:  T. Andersen (LB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Patterson (RB) day-to-day - Thigh. P. Hart (WR) I-R - Concussion. M. Hennessy (OL) I-R - Knee. A. Ogundeji (LB) I-R - Ankle. F. Franks (TE) I-R - Lower Body. E. Greenidge (OL) I-R - Leg. I. Enechukwu (DL) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Williams (RB) I-R - Knee.

Jacksonville Jaguars:  D. Lloyd (LB) day-to-day - Hand. L. Taylor (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Harrison (OT) day-to-day - Ankle. Z. Jones (WR) day-to-day - Knee. A. Johnson (S) day-to-day - Hamstring. G. Junior (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Hodges (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Hamilton (DT) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Smoot (LB) Out indefinitely - Achilles. V. Miller (LB) I-R - Achilles. C. Robinson (OL) Elig Week 5 - Suspension.

“They took us out of our rhythm early and we never got it back.” - Arthur Smith after his team’s loss against the Lions in their last game. 

“Those types of things are unacceptable. Just poor execution. We couldn’t get him on the ground. Great play by them. Just failed execution.” - Doug Pederson after his team’s loss against the Texans in their last game. 

WR London, Drake 

WR Hollins, Mack 

TE Pitts, Kyle

TE Smith, Jonnu 

QB Ridder, Desmond 

RB Robinson, Bijan 

FB SMITH, KEITH

WR Jones, Zay

WR Ridley, Calvin 

WR Kirk, Christian 

TE Engram, Evan 

QB Lawrence, Trevor 

RB Etienne Jr., Travis 

Passing: D. Ridder (553)

Rushing: B. Robinson (213)

Receiving: M. Hollins (114)

Touchdowns: T. Allgeier (2)

Passing: T. Lawrence (736)

Rushing: T. Etienne Jr. (205)

Receiving: C. Ridley (173)

Touchdowns: T. Bigsby (2)

Coaches:

Atlanta Falcons: Arthur Smith (3rd season)

Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (2nd season)