by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Sep 22, 2026
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Thursday, September 24, 2026
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Where to Watch: Prime Video
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Falcons +6, Packers -6; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Falcons +6.5, Packers -6.5; Over/Under: 44.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Falcons +6.5, Packers -6.5; Over/Under: 44.5 points
Season Record
Atlanta Falcons: 0-2 (3rd place, NFC South)
Green Bay Packers: 1-1 (2nd place, NFC North)
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Atlanta Falcons: lost their last game at home against the Carolina Panthers 34-3.
Green Bay Packers: won their last game on the road against the New York Jets 20-17 in overtime.
Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis
The Falcons are entering this game with a 0-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Carolina Panthers 34-3. Cooper Rush was the starting QB and he completed 10/17 passes for 86 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 72. Drake London led the receivers with 51 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Xavier Watts led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles while Cameron Thomas, Gervon Dexter Sr., Samson Ebukam, and Za'Darius Smith each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Packers are entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New York Jets 20-17 in OT. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 16/29 passes for 145 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kaleb Johnson led the team in rushing yards with 32. Matthew Golden led the receivers with 58 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Lukas Van Ness and Evan Williams each led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles while Lukas Van Ness led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Falcons vs Packers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 1-1 record overall so far. They haven't played any home games though and will be playing their home opener here. Meanwhile, the Falcons have looked terrible in their games this season with their 0-2 record overall so far. They haven't been a great road team either with their 0-1 road record this year. The Falcons are coming off a 34-3 loss to the Panthers in their last one and they weren't competitive at all in a divisional game at home. Their defense couldn't stop the Panthers and even though they looked better in week 1, they also played a terrible Steelers offense. The offense has also looked terrible for the Falcons with no real QB to lead the way. Penix should be returning for this game, but they still have a lot of issues to work through. The Packers haven't looked great either after their collapse against the Vikings in week 1, but they bounced back last week and looked a lot better. They needed OT to beat the Jets 20-17, but they looked bad for the 1st half of the game and finally found some momentum late. They can carry over some of that momentum into this home opener and will be looking to make a statement on the national stage against a team that has looked like one of the worst in the NFL after 2 games. The Packers are a lot better than the way they have started the season, so look for them to win big at home against a team that has looked terrible. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game.
Falcons Packers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Thursday, September 24, 2026 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Packers 24 Falcons 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Atlanta Falcons: 14-20 ATS in all games. 11-16 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 3-7 ATS in the first month of the regular season. 7-3 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 7-3 OVER after allowing 30 points or more last game.
Green Bay Packers: 7-3 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 6-3 ATS off a road win. 7-4 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 4-1 OVER after a win by 6 or less points.
Key Injuries
Atlanta Falcons: J. Matthews (OT) Injured - NIR-Rest. R. Neuzil (OG) Injured - Illness. K. Daniels (LB) Injured - Achilles. Z. Smith (DL) Injured - NIR-Rest. J. Taylor (OT) Injured - Knee. C. Rush (QB) Injured - Back. M. Penix Jr. (QB) Out - Knee. B. Bowman Jr. (CB) Out - Achilles. C. Lindstrom (OG) Questionable - Concussion. A. Terrell Jr. (CB) Questionable - Shoulder. T. Tagovailoa (QB) Doubtful - Oblique.
Green Bay Packers: L. Van Ness (DL) Undefined - Concussion. J. Hargrave (DL) Out - Knee. B. St-Juste (CB) Questionable - Hamstring. A. Banks (OG) Questionable - Knee. W. Brinson (DL) Out - Calf. T. Hopper (LB) Injured - Achilles. B. Sorrell (DL) Injured - Foot. D. Wyatt (DL) Injured - Ankle. Z. Bako-Bewele (OG) Questionable - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“Cooper’s giving us everything he’s got, and unfortunately, you know, we turned the ball over there, including on the first play, which should never be a turnover. So those are the types of things, those are correctable. We’ve got to get them fixed.” - Kevin Stefanski after his team’s loss against the Panthers in their last game.
“For our guys to continue to battle, hopefully that will give us some momentum moving forward. It was tough sledding there for about three quarters.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s win against the Jets in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Atlanta Falcons
WR London, Drake
WR Dotson, Jahan
WR Zaccheaus, Olamide
TE Pitts Sr., Kyle
QB Penix Jr., Michael
RB Robinson, Bijan
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Golden, Matthew
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Kraft, Tucker
QB Love, Jordan
RB Brooks, Chris
Statistical Leaders
Atlanta Falcons
Passing: Cooper Rush (229)
Rushing: Bijan Robinson (155)
Receiving: Bijan Robinson (99)
Touchdowns: Bijan Robinson (1)
Green Bay Packers
Passing: Jordan Love (532)
Rushing: MarShawn Lloyd (57)
Receiving: Christian Watson (188)
Touchdowns: Christian Watson (3)
Coaches:
Atlanta Falcons: Kevin Stefanski (1st season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
