Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 24, 2023
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Falcons +4, Lions -4; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Falcons +3.5, Lions -3.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Falcons +3.5, Lions -3.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Season Record
Atlanta Falcons: 2-0 (1st place, NFC South)
Detroit Lions: 1-1 (2nd place, NFC North)
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Atlanta Falcons: won their last game at home against the Green Bay Packers 25-24.
Detroit Lions: lost their last game at home against the Seattle Seahawks in overtime 37-31.
Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions Preview and Analysis
The Falcons are entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Green Bay Packers 25-24. Desmond Ridder was the starting QB and he completed 19/32 passes for 237 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 124. Drake London led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Kaden Elliss led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Kaden Elliss led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.
The Lions are entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Seattle Seahawks in OT 37-31. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 28/35 passes for 323 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. David Montgomery led the team in rushing yards with 67 and 1 TD. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receivers with 102 receiving yards on 6 receptions. C. J. Gardner-Johnson led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Alex Anzalone led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.
Falcons vs Lions Prediction
The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 4 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons are 2-0 to start the season and they have looked good in those games with their new weapons. They have a really strong running game with Bijan Robinson and Desmond Ridder also looks a lot better than he did last season. The Lions won their season opener on the road in Kansas City but they reverted back to their old ways last week as they lost at home against the Seahawks. The Lions showed a lot of holes on defense in that game as they gave up 37 points, including a touchdown in OT, and the Falcons have a lot of talent on their offense that will exploit those holes. The Lions still have a really good team and can win this game at home as they will be looking to bounce back, but a lot of their wins last season came in 1 score games and even if they do win this game, it is only going to be by a field goal. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game.
Falcons Lions Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 24, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Lions 23 Falcons 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Atlanta Falcons: 4-10 ATS after allowing 150 or less passing yards in 2 straight games. 4-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 37-19 UNDER after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game. 9-5 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins.
Detroit Lions: 24-12 ATS in all games. 13-5 ATS in home games. 12-4 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 9-2 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 18-10 UNDER after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game.
Key Injuries
Atlanta Falcons: J. Okudah (CB) day-to-day - Ankle. C. Patterson (RB) day-to-day - Thigh. T. Andersen (LB) day-to-day - Concussion. P. Hart (WR) I-R - Concussion. M. Hennessy (OL) I-R - Knee. A. Ogundeji (LB) I-R - Ankle. F. Franks (TE) I-R - Lower Body. E. Greenidge (OL) I-R - Leg. I. Enechukwu (DL) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Williams (RB) I-R - Knee.
Detroit Lions: J. Houston (LB) Mid Nov - Ankle. D. Montgomery (RB) day-to-day - Thigh. T. Decker (OT) day-to-day - Ankle. E. Moseley (CB) day-to-day - Knee. I. Buggs (DL) day-to-day - Illness. J. Paschal (DL) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Dorsey (CB) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Okwara (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. N. Sudfeld (QB) I-R - Knee. C. Gardner-Johnson (DB) Out indefinitely - Knee. S. Zylstra (TE) I-R - Knee. H. Hooker (QB) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Williams (WR) Elig Week 7 - Suspension.
Notable Quotes
“He's a winner. The guys believe in him. You can see it in their eyes, in critical situations, he's at his best.” - Arthur Smith on Desmond Ridder after his team’s win against the Packers in their last game.
“This is good. We’ll get a little humble pie.” - Dan Campbell after his team’s loss against the Seahawks in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Atlanta Falcons
WR London, Drake
WR Hollins, Mack
TE Smith, Jonnu
TE Pitts, Kyle
QB Ridder, Desmond
RB Robinson, Bijan
FB SMITH, KEITH
Detroit Lions
WR Reynolds, Josh
WR JONES JR., MARVIN
WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra
TE LaPorta, Sam
QB Goff, Jared
RB Montgomery, David
FB Cabinda, Jason
Statistical Leaders
Atlanta Falcons
Passing: D. Ridder (352)
Rushing: B. Robinson (180)
Receiving: M. Hollins (91)
Touchdowns: T. Allgeier (2)
Detroit Lions
Passing: J. Goff (576)
Rushing: D. Montgomery (141)
Receiving: A. St. Brown (173)
Touchdowns: D. Montgomery (2)
Coaches:
Atlanta Falcons: Arthur Smith (3rd season)
Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (3rd season)