by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Nov 14, 2024
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, November 17, 2024
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Falcons +2.5, Broncos -2.5; Over/Under: 44 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Falcons +2.5, Broncos -2.5; Over/Under: 44 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Falcons +2.5, Broncos -2.5; Over/Under: 44 points
Season Record
Atlanta Falcons: 6-4 (1st place, NFC South)
Denver Broncos: 5-5 (3rd place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Atlanta Falcons: lost their last game on the road against the New Orleans Saints 20-17.
Denver Broncos: lost their last game on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs 16-14.
Atlanta Falcons vs Denver Broncos Preview and Analysis
The Falcons are entering this game with a 6-4 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the New Orleans Saints 20-17. Kirk Cousins was the starting QB and he completed 23/38 passes for 306 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 116 and 2 TDs. Drake London led the receivers with 97 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Nate Landman led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Broncos are entering this game with a 5-5 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 3-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 16-14. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 22/30 passes for 215 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Audric Estime led the team in rushing yards with 53. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Brandon Jones led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jonathon Cooper, Nik Bonitto, John Franklin-Myers, and Zach Allen each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Falcons vs Broncos Prediction
The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons have looked good in their games this season with their 6-4 record overall which has them leading the NFC South. They have been rolling in their games lately, but now they are coming off a loss to the Saints in their last one which was a tighter game. Meanwhile, the Broncos have looked good in their games this season with their 5-5 record overall, but that record only has them in 3rd place of the AFC West and they are going to have to fight for a Wild Card spot with the Chiefs leading their division still undefeated. The Broncos have one of the best defenses in the NFL this season, not giving up many points in a majority of their games, and even their offense has looked a lot better lately with Bo Nix improving in his rookie season. This is going to be a tough game for them though since they are coming off a 2 point loss to the Chiefs in their last one and that was a game they had a chance to beat the only undefeated team left in the NFL, but their last second field goal was blocked by the Chiefs and a loss like that is going to linger still in this game. It will be tough for the Broncos to bring their best effort after the way they lost to the Chiefs last week and they are getting a Falcons team that is also coming off a divisional loss and looking to bounce back. The Broncos have the much better defense with the Falcons giving up a ton of points this year, but the Falcons do have the more consistent offense and that will be a big factor in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game.
Falcons Broncos Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 17, 2024 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Falcons 24 Broncos 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Atlanta Falcons: 7-4 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 6-3 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 8-5 ATS after playing a division game. 26-18 UNDER in all games. 14-6 UNDER as an underdog. 10-2 UNDER in non-conference games.
Denver Broncos: 7-14 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 4-8 ATS after playing a division game. 1-4 ATS after a 2 game road trip. 6-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-5 UNDER off a road loss. 11-6 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.
Key Injuries
Atlanta Falcons: A. Hamilton (CB) Injured - Pectoral. K. Cousins (QB) Injured - Shoulder. L. Carter (OLB) Injured - Concussion. M. Hughes (CB) Injured - Neck. C. Woerner (TE) Injured - Concussion. T. Graham (DL) Injured - Pectoral. R. Neuzil (OL) Injured - Calf. T. Allgeier (RB) Injured - Quadricep. Z. Harrison (DL) Injured - Achilles. D. Alford (CB) Injured - Hamstring. D. London (WR) Injured - Hip. C. Lindstrom (G) Injured - Knee. T. Andersen (LB) Injured - Knee. J. Smith-Williams (DL) Injured - Tibia. D. Dalman (OL) Injured - Ankle. J. Bertrand (LB) Injured - Concussion.
Denver Broncos: J. Reynolds (WR) Injured - Hand. B. Jones (SAF) Injured - Abdomen. D. Sanders (LB) Injured - Achilles. Z. Allen (DE) Injured - Elbow. P. Locke (SAF) Injured - Thumb. D. Turner-Yell (SAF) Injured - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It was certainly a tough loss. We had chances to take the lead late in the game and not being able to do it leaves a bad taste in your mouth. This is one that you're sick over.” - Kirk Cousins after their loss against the Saints in their last game.
“I felt like we outplayed them but we didn't finish. That one will take a while. It'll sting.” - Sean Payton after his team’s loss against the Chiefs in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Atlanta Falcons
WR Mooney, Darnell
WR McCloud III, Ray-Ray
WR London, Drake
TE Pitts, Kyle
QB Cousins, Kirk
RB Robinson, Bijan
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Humphrey, Lil'Jordan
WR Vele, Devaughn
TE Trautman, Adam
QB Nix, Bo
RB Estime, Audric
FB Burton, Michael
Statistical Leaders
Atlanta Falcons
Passing: K. Cousins (2634)
Rushing: B. Robinson (748)
Receiving: D. Mooney (684)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (7)
Denver Broncos
Passing: B. Nix (1968)
Rushing: J. Williams (388)
Receiving: C. Sutton (569)
Touchdowns: B. Nix (5)
Coaches:
Atlanta Falcons: Raheem Morris (1st season)
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
