Atlanta Falcons vs Arizona Cardinals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/12/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Nov 11, 2023
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue:  State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Falcons -2, Cardinals +2; Over/Under:  44 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Falcons -1.5, Cardinals +1.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Falcons -1.5, Cardinals +1.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Season Record

Atlanta Falcons:  4-5 (2nd place, NFC South)
Arizona Cardinals:  1-8 (4th place, NFC West)

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Recent Form
Atlanta Falcons:  lost their last game at home against the Minnesota Vikings 31-28.
Arizona Cardinals:  lost their last game on the road against the Cleveland Browns 27-0.


Atlanta Falcons vs Arizona Cardinals Preview and Analysis


The Falcons are entering this game with a 4-5 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 31-28. Taylor Heinicke was the starting QB and he completed 21/38 passes for 268 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 51. Jonnu Smith led the receivers with 100 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Nate Landman and David Onyemata each led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Nate Landman, David Onyemata, Calais Campbell, and Arnold Ebiketie each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Cardinals are entering this game with a 1-8 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 0-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Cleveland Browns 27-0. Clayton Tune was the starting QB and he completed 11/20 passes for 58 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Clayton Tune led the team in rushing yards with 28. Marquise Brown led the receivers with 24 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Kevin Strong Jr. led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Leki Fotu and Josh Woods each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


Falcons vs Cardinals Prediction

The current betting odds have the Cardinals listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cardinals have looked terrible this season with their 1-8 record overall but they are getting a key player back for this game. Kyler Murray is making his return since getting injured and James Conner will also be back for the team in this game. Both of these players will bring a big boost to this offense that has underperformed all season. The Falcons are 4-5 overall this season and they have struggled a lot more in their road games with their 1-2 road record. They recently made the change to Taylor Heinicke at QB and the offense has looked a lot better with him running it, but they have still lost the 2 games he has played in. The Cardinals have looked terrible all season but now that they have their starting QB back their offense will move the ball a lot better and their defense hasn't been that bad this year either. The Falcons have also been playing in a lot of close games this season so there is even a good chance that they win this in a close game but don't cover the number. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cardinals to cover the spread in this game. 

Falcons Cardinals Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 12, 2023 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Cardinals 28 Falcons 20.
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NFL Betting Trends


Atlanta Falcons: 2-7 ATS in all games. 6-11 ATS as a favorite. 3-10 ATS off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite. 32-16 OVER against NFC West division opponents. 4-1 OVER off an upset loss as a favorite.

Arizona Cardinals: 33-22 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less. 7-0 ATS after being shutout. 18-10 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 20-9 OVER after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 28-18 OVER against NFC South division opponents.

Key Injuries


Atlanta Falcons:  D. Hellams (S) Prob Sun - Hamstring. C. Patterson (RB) Prob Sun - Ankle. R. Grant (S) Prob Sun - Neck. D. Alford (CB) Out Sun - Ankle. M. Hollins (WR) Out Sun - Ankle. D. Onyemata (DL) Ques Sun - Ankle. D. London (WR) Prob Sun - Groin. K. Smith (FB) Prob Sun - Concussion. L. London (DL) Out indefinitely - Knee. G. Jarrett (DL) I-R - Knee. J. Ali (WR) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Andersen (LB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Hennessy (OL) I-R - Knee. A. Ogundeji (LB) I-R - Ankle. F. Franks (TE) I-R - Lower Body. E. Greenidge (OL) I-R - Leg. I. Enechukwu (DL) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Williams (RB) I-R - Knee.

Arizona Cardinals:  C. O'Donnell (OL) Ques Sun - Ankle. T. Colon (OL) Out Sun - Calf. E. Demercado (RB) Out Sun - Toe. M. Wilson (CB) Prob Sun - Knee. C. Thomas (LB) Prob Sun - Illness. G. Swaim (TE) Ques Sun - Back. E. Turner (LB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. D. Humphries (OL) Ques Sun - Ankle. W. Hernandez (OL) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Conner (RB) Ques Sun - Knee. B. Price (CB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. K. Murray (QB) Prob Sun - Knee. M. Wilson (WR) Ques Sun - Shoulder. E. Wilkinson (OL) Out indefinitely - Neck. Z. Ertz (TE) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. C. Watkins (DT) Out indefinitely - Bicep. L. Collier (DL) Out indefinitely - Bicep. J. Gaines II (OL) I-R - Knee. P. Elflein (OL) I-R - Undisclosed. R. Fenton (CB) I-R - Undisclosed. M. Mack (RB) I-R - Achilles. M. Hembrough (LS) I-R - Back.

Notable Quotes


“Every week, we are looking to improve. We lose games this close, we have to change something to get over the hump.” - Arthur Smith after his team’s loss against the Vikings in their last game. 


“We couldn't run it. We couldn't protect it. We couldn't throw it." - Jonathan Gannon after his team’s loss against the Browns in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Atlanta Falcons
WR London, Drake 
WR Jefferson, Van 
TE Pitts, Kyle
TE Smith, Jonnu 
QB HEINICKE, TAYLOR  
RB Robinson, Bijan 
FB SMITH, KEITH

Arizona Cardinals
WR Brown, Marquise 
WR Wilson, Michael 
WR Moore, Rondale 
TE McBride, Trey 
QB Murray, Kyler 
RB Conner, James 

Statistical Leaders


Atlanta Falcons
Passing: D. Ridder (1701)
Rushing: B. Robinson (517)
Receiving: D. London (438)
Touchdowns: D. Ridder (3)

Arizona Cardinals
Passing: C. Tune (62)
Rushing: J. Conner (364)
Receiving: M. Brown (440)
Touchdowns: M. Brown (4)

Coaches:
Atlanta Falcons: Arthur Smith (3rd season)
Arizona Cardinals: Jonathan Gannon (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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