Atlanta Braves vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/11/2026

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 11, 2026

Venue:  Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -120, Cardinals +100; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -120, Cardinals +100; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -120, Cardinals +100; Over/Under:  9 runs

Atlanta Braves:  54-38 (1st place, NL East)

St Louis Cardinals:  48-44 (3rd place, NL Central)

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Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10

St Louis Cardinals:  4-6 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-38 record overall and have a road record of 27-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Cardinals on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .728 OPS. Chris Sale is their starting pitcher on Friday while Reynaldo López is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-1 with a 3.18 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 SO on 3 hits through 5 IP against the New York Mets.

The Cardinals are entering this series off a loss and lost their 5-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 4-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-44 record overall and have a home record of 24-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .713 OPS. Kyle Leahy is their starting pitcher on Friday while Matthew Liberatore is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-6 with a 5.34 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 3 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Chicago Cubs.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked great in their games this season with their 54-38 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with one of the best records in MLB. They have been a good road team too with their 27-20 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have looked good in their games this season with their 48-44 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL Central. They haven't looked great in their own ballpark though with their 24-25 home record this season. The Cardinals are now 4-6 in their last 10 games and they are coming off a bad series in which they lost 4-1 to the Brewers. They have been really up and down lately while the Braves are 5-5 in their last 10 games and have been in a big slump over the last few weeks, but the Braves are starting to break out again and have still been one of the best teams in the league all season, even with their trouble lately. Lopez is on the mound for the Braves in this one and he has looked good this season. he is 4-1 with a 3.18 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs this year. He is coming off a great start in which he gave up 1 earned run, something that has been a common theme for him, and the team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting too. The Cardinals are going with Liberatore in this one and he hasn't looked good this season. He is 4-6 with a 5.34 ERA and he has been giving up a ton of runs all year. He just gave up 3 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him and the team has lost 3 of their last 4 games with him starting too. The Cardinals are starting to slump now while the Braves are getting hot again, so look for the Braves to take advantage of this better pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Braves Cardinals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 11, 2026 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Braves 7 Cardinals 3.

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Atlanta Braves: 40-39 (-9.6 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. 219-199 (-45.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 107-104 (-16.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. 25-17 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125.

St Louis Cardinals: 110-115 (+22.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 66-66 (+14 units) on the moneyline vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season. 53-48 (+16.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%). 13-4 UNDER against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves:  M. Perez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. H. Kim (SS) Ten Day IL - Finger. R. Suarez (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. S. Murphy (C) Sixty Day IL - Finger. A. Smith-Shawver (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Wentz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. S. Schwellenbach (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

St Louis Cardinals:  R. Stanek (RP) Day To Day - Leg. M. Rajcic (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Urias (3B) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“I know it wasn’t pretty, but I thought it was significantly better than the last three starts. I don’t know if I’m trying to be too positive or what. But I’ll take it and run with it.” - Bryce Elder after their win against the Pirates in their game on Thursday.

“He has the ability to put on a pretty cool show. So, I think, for a lot of reasons, it’ll be cool to watch.” - Oliver Marmol on Jordan Walker this season.

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Drake Baldwin (L) C

Mauricio Dubón (R) LF

Dominic Smith (L) DH

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Mike Yastrzemski (L) RF

Jim Jarvis (L) SS

JJ Wetherholt (L) 2B

Iván Herrera (R) C

Alec Burleson (L) 1B

Jordan Walker (R) DH

Lars Nootbaar (L) RF

Masyn Winn (R) SS

Bryan Torres (L) LF

José Fermín (R) 3B

Nathan Church (L) CF

Batting Average:  Jair Camargo (.500)

Hits:  Michael Harris (98)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (25)

RBI:  Matt Olson (58)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (15)

Wins:  Chris Sale (9)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (18)

ERA:  Victor Mederos (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jordan Walker (.294)

Hits:  Jordan Walker (102)

Home Runs:  Jordan Walker (22)

RBI:  Jordan Walker (73)

Stolen Bases:  Jordan Walker (12)

Wins:  Andre Pallante (10)

Saves:  Riley O'Brien (22)

ERA:  Ryan Fernandez (2.70)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Walt Weiss (1st season)

St Louis Cardinals: Oliver Marmol (5th season)