by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jun 23, 2026
Game Time: 8:40 pm ET, Wednesday, June 24, 2026
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch: MLB TV
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Braves -125, Padres +105; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Braves -125, Padres +105; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Braves -130, Padres +105; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Season Record
Atlanta Braves: 48-29 (1st place, NL East)
San Diego Padres: 40-37 (2nd place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Atlanta Braves: 3-7 last 10
San Diego Padres: 5-5 last 10
Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis
The Braves are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-29 record overall and have a road record of 24-15. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Padres on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. The Braves lost the series opener on Monday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Rookie pitcher JR Ritchie is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Martín Pérez is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-3 with a 2.78 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 5 SO on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.
The Padres are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-37 record overall and have a home record of 20-19. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Padres won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 30th in the MLB with a .656 OPS. Griffin Canning is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Randy Vásquez is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-5 with a 4.17 ERA this season. His team lost 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 walks with 1 strikeout on 8 hits through 3.1 innings pitched against the Texas Rangers.
Braves vs Padres Prediction
The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres have looked good in their games this season with their 40-37 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL West. They haven't looked great in their own ballpark though with their 20-19 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Braves have looked great in their games this season with their 48-29 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East. They have been a great road team too with their 24-15 road record this year. The Braves have looked terrible lately as they are 3-7 in their last 10 games and have been in a big slump, but they will be looking to break out of that in this series. The Padres have looked better lately as they are 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they still haven't looked great and have been really up and down all season. The Braves are going with Perez in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 6-3 with a 2.78 ERA and has been one of their best starters this year. He is coming off another great start in which he only gave up 1 earned run, something that has been a common theme for him, and he has been the bright spot for the Braves during this slump with the team winning 4 games in a row now with him as the starter. The Padres are going with Vasquez in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 6-5 with a 4.17 ERA and he looked great to start the season, but lately he has been slipping. The team has been having a lot of trouble with him now, losing 5 of their last 6 games with him as the starter, and he is coming off another bad start in which he gave up 6 earned runs. The Padres also have one of the worst offenses in MLB this season while the Braves have one of the best, so look for the Braves to take advantage of this better pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.
Braves Padres Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 24, 2026 (8:40 pm ET start time) is Braves 8 Padres 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Atlanta Braves: 33-47 (-28.5 units) on the moneyline against NL West opponents. 213-190 (-41.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 104-99 (-14 units) on the moneyline in road games. 24-12 OVER in road games.
San Diego Padres: 229-183 (+24.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 120-85 (+7.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 63-52 (+6.3 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 9-6 OVER vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season.
Key Injuries
Atlanta Braves: M. Yastrzemski (LF) Day To Day - Undisclosed. S. Strider (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. T. Kinley (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. S. Murphy (C) Sixty Day IL - Finger. H. Waldrep (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. K. Farmer (DH) Ten Day IL - Forearm. D. Young (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Smith-Shawver (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Wentz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. S. Schwellenbach (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee.
San Diego Padres: F. Fermin (C) Seven Day IL - Concussion. J. Estrada (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. R. Laureano (LF) Sixty Day IL - Hip. N. Pivetta (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Campusano (C) Ten Day IL - Toe. M. Waldron (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Arm. J. Cronenworth (2B) Seven Day IL - Concussion. G. Marquez (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. B. Hoeing (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Musgrove (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“That’s surprising. Our offense is going to be fine. It's a good offense. It’s the cycle of a season. Offenses go through it more than any other aspect of a team, the ups and downs.” - Walt Weiss on his team’s offense in June after his team’s loss against the Padres in their game on Monday.
"We believe that the starting pitching will get better. We're working with them every day." - Craig Stammen after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Monday.
Starting Lineups
Atlanta Braves
Mauricio Dubón (R) LF
Drake Baldwin (L) C
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Dominic Smith (L) DH
Mike Yastrzemski (L) RF
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
San Diego Padres
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Jackson Merrill (L) CF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Gavin Sheets (L) DH
Ty France (R) 1B
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Will Wagner (L) 2B
Rodolfo Durán (R) C
Samad Taylor (R) LF
Statistical Leaders
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average: Jair Camargo (.500)
Hits: Ozzie Albies (83)
Home Runs: Matt Olson (20)
RBI: Matt Olson (51)
Stolen Bases: Ronald Acuña (15)
Wins: Chris Sale (8)
Saves: Raisel Iglesias (15)
ERA: James Karinchak (0.00)
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Samad Taylor (.340)
Hits: Fernando Tatis (83)
Home Runs: Manny Machado (14)
RBI: Manny Machado (42)
Stolen Bases: Fernando Tatis (18)
Wins: Randy Vásquez (6)
Saves: Mason Miller (21)
ERA: Mason Miller (0.84)
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Walt Weiss (1st season)
San Diego Padres: Craig Stammen (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
