Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/17/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, Apr 16, 2022
Game Time: 7:08 pm ET, Sunday, April 17, 2022
Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +110, Padres -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +110, Padres -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +110, Padres -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Atlanta Braves:  4-5 (2nd place, NL East)
San Diego Padres:  5-4 (4th place, NL West)
 
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Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Atlanta Braves:  4-5 last 10
San Diego Padres:  5-4 last 10
 
 
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with a 4-5 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. They just lost their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Padres on Sunday night. This will be the 4th game of the series on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Ian Anderson is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while rookie pitcher Bryce Elder will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 1-0 with a 4.76 ERA this season. His team won his first game this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HRs, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits in 5.2 IP against the Washington Nationals. They scored 19 runs in their last series averaging just over 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 18 runs against them averaging 6 runs allowed per game.
 

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Padres are coming into this game with a 5-4 record overall and they are 1-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just lost their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Braves on Sunday. This will be the 4th game of the series on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Nick Martinez is the starter for them on Saturday while Yu Darvish will be throwing the first pitch for them on Sunday. He is 0-1 with a 10.57 ERA this season. His team lost his last 2 games this season with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 9 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 2 strikeouts on 8 hits through 1.2 innings played against the San Francisco Giants. They scored 7 runs in their last series averaging just over 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 17 runs against them averaging just under 6 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Braves vs Padres Prediction

The Braves are coming into this game as a slight underdog with the current betting odds. They are coming into this game starting to heat up recently as they took the 2nd game of this series and their pitching was a lot better in that game. They have a rookie pitcher starting in this game and that does offer a little advantage as there is not a lot of data and stats to go off of for what he throws so the Padres could struggle in this game not knowing what is being thrown at them here. The Padres also have Yu Darvish starting for them and he is coming off of an awful game in his last start where he allowed 9 runs and did not even give his team a chance in that game from the start. He will likely have a better day here but he has had bad seasons before and has been a very inconsistent pitcher over his career. The Braves are starting to play better hitting the ball more and their pitching has been much better as well. The Braves have the value here to win this game as an underdog and they will win this game on the road to close out the series.
 
Braves Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, April 17, 2022 (7:08 pm ET start time) is Braves 6 Padres 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Atlanta Braves: 72-52 (+10.8u) ML when the total is 7 to 8.5. 67-54 (+10.2u) ML in road games. 26-18 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 to +150.
San Diego Padres: 96-69 (-19.1u) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 86-81 (-20.1u) ML against right-handed starters. 335-250 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175.
 

Key Injuries

 
Atlanta Braves:  R. Acuna Jr. (LF) Early May - Knee injury. K. Yates (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow injury. L. Jackson (RP) out for season - Elbow injury.
San Diego Padres:  B. Snell (SP) Out indefinitely - Groin injury. L. Garcia (RP) Late April - Oblique injury. M. Clevinger (SP) Late April - Knee injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I love how especially in that fifth inning he kind of kept hanging in there and kept making pitches and went through the meat of their order. He got out of that tinning, gave himself, really, a chance to get the decision." - Brian Snitker on his team’s win against the Padres on Friday night.
 
 
"I felt good. I would have felt better if I hadn't given up those two runs. I felt like my stuff was pretty good. All in all, I felt I made some pitches when I had to." - Kyle Wright after their win against the Padres on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Atlanta Braves
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) LF
Adam Duvall (R) CF
Alex Dickerson (L) DH
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Eddie Rosario (L) RF
Manny Pina (R) C
 
San Diego Padres
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Austin Nola (R) C
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Luke Voit (R) DH
Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Matt Beaty (L) RF
C.J. Abrams (L) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Matt Olson (.367)
Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (12)
Home Runs:  Ozzie Albies (3)
RBI:  Ozzie Albies (7)
Stolen Bases:  N/A
Wins:  Bryce Elder (1)
Saves:  Will Smith (1)
ERA:  Tyler Matzek (0.00)
 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Jose Azocar (.500)
Hits:  Manny Machado (14)
Home Runs:  Jurickson Profar (2)
RBI:  Jurickson Profar (8)
Stolen Bases:  Manny Machado (3)
Wins:  Steven Wilson (2)
Saves:  Taylor Rogers (3)
ERA:  Taylor Rogers (0.00)
 
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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