Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/16/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, Apr 15, 2022
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, April 16, 2022
Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -125, Padres +105; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -125, Padres +105; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -125, Padres +105; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Atlanta Braves:  3-5 (3rd place, NL East)
San Diego Padres:  5-3 (4th place, NL West)
 
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Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Atlanta Braves:  3-5 last 10
San Diego Padres:  5-3 last 10
 
 
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with a 3-5 record overall and they are 0-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Padres on Saturday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Kyle Wright is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Ian Anderson will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 0-1 with a 16.88 ERA this season. His team lost his first game this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 0 HRs, and 5 BB with 1 K on 3 hits in 2.2 IP against the Cincinnati Reds. They scored 19 runs in their last series averaging just over 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 18 runs against them averaging 6 runs allowed per game.
 

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Padres are coming into this game with a 5-3 record overall and they are 1-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. They just lost their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Saturday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. There is no probable starter for them on Friday yet but Nick Martinez will be throwing the first pitch for them on Saturday. He is 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA this season. His team won his first game this season with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the San Francisco Giants. They scored 7 runs in their last series averaging just over 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 17 runs against them averaging just under 6 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Braves vs Padres Prediction

The Padres are coming into this game as a slight underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. They have been playing very well so far and off to a great start as they have been scoring a lot of runs in most of their games. They have been a big hitting team over the last couple of years and they are already coming right out of the gate with some good games and some big hits. They are going up against a Braves team that has not been off to a good start this season and still has a little hangover from winning the World Series last season. They had one big game where they scored 16 runs and other than that they really have not been scoring a lot in their games. Anderson is coming off of an awful start as well and with how well the Padres have been hitting recently, they will definitely get hits and score runs on him here. Martinez is coming off of a very good first start already and he will be looking to add a win to his 1.80 ERA now as well. The Padres are playing much better right now and they are here at home for their home opening series, they will win this game.
 
Braves Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, April 16, 2022 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Padres 8 Braves 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Atlanta Braves: 65-39 (+16.8u) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 66-54 (+9.2u) ML in road games. 20-12 OVER in April games.
San Diego Padres: 24-44 (-14.1u) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 123-113 (-30.2u) ML in all games. 21-16 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 7.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Atlanta Braves:  R. Acuna Jr. (LF) Early May - Knee injury. K. Yates (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow injury. L. Jackson (RP) out for season - Elbow injury.
San Diego Padres:  B. Snell (SP) Out indefinitely - Groin injury. L. Garcia (RP) Late April - Oblique injury. M. Clevinger (SP) Late April - Knee injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I thought I was going to be more nervous than I was. They called me last night and told me. I slept actually really well. My family and some of my friends were able to come out and I thanked them for that. The last 24 hours went by really quick." - Bryce Elder after their win against the Nationals on Tuesday night.
 
 
"For one day, that's about as perfect a day as you can have, with a full house, opening day, Joe on the mound, Manny, Hos, C.J. home run. You can't script it any better than that." - Bob Melvin after his team’s win against the Braves on Thursday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Atlanta Braves
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) LF
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Eddie Rosario (L) RF
Adam Duvall (R) CF
Alex Dickerson (L) DH
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
 
San Diego Padres
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Austin Nola (R) C
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Luke Voit (R) DH
Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
Wil Myers (R) RF
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
C.J. Abrams (L) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Matt Olson (.407)
Hits:  Matt Olson (11)
Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (2)
RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (6)
Stolen Bases:  N/A
Wins:  Bryce Elder (1)
Saves:  Will Smith (1)
ERA:  Kyle Wright (0.00)
 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Jose Azocar (.500)
Hits:  Eric Hosmer (12)
Home Runs:  Jurickson Profar (2)
RBI:  Jurickson Profar (8)
Stolen Bases:  Manny Machado (3)
Wins:  Steven Wilson (2)
Saves:  Taylor Rogers (3)
ERA:  Pierce Johnson (0.00)
 
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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