Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/27/2022

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jul 26, 2022
Game Time: 12:35 pm ET, Wednesday, July 27, 2022
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -165, Phillies +140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -165, Phillies +140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -165, Phillies +140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Atlanta Braves:  58-40 (2nd place, NL East)
Philadelphia Phillies:  50-46 (3rd place, NL East)
 
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Recent Form
Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis

 
The Braves enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They won their last series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 58-40 record overall and have a road record of 25-19. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .754 OPS. Spencer Strider is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Charlie Morton is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-4 with a 4.20 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 3 BB with 7 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Los Angeles Angels. 
 
The Phillies were on a 3 game losing streak but now enter this game off of a win. They lost their last series against the Chicago Cubs getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 50-46 record overall and have a home record of 25-24. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .725 OPS. Aaron Nola is on the mound on Tuesday while Kyle Gibson will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-4 with a 4.69 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 6 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 0 Ks on 6 hits through 4.1 IP against the Chicago Cubs. 

 

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite here. The Braves have stumbled a little in their last 2 games but they have been playing very well over the last month and have really been climbing the standings. This is an important series to them and they should have the motivation to win here against a Phillies team that has not been hitting that well recently. Gibson is starting for the Phillies and he has been starting to slip in his recent starts. He allowed 6 runs in his last start but he has been allowing a lot of runs in his starts recently and the Braves will be able to score on him here with their hot lineup. The Braves have Morton starting here and he had a rough start to the season but he has been a lot better in his recent starts and is not allowing as many runs anymore. The Braves have the pitching advantage in this game and the better offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.
 
Braves Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 27, 2022 (12:35 pm ET start time) is Braves 7 Phillies 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Atlanta Braves: 200-147 (+14.5 Units) ML in all games. 91-72 (+10.8 Units) ML in road games. 24-12 OVER against division opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies: 160-158 (-21.8 Units) ML in all games. 55-61 (-16.4 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 24-17 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Atlanta Braves:  O. Albies (2B) Mid Aug - Foot. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist. A. Duvall (LF) out for season - Wrist.
Philadelphia Phillies:  J. Segura (SS) Early Aug - Finger. N. Maton (SS) Early Aug - Shoulder. B. Harper (RF) Late Aug - Thumb.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We'll put this behind us and come out and win a game tomorrow." - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Phillies on Monday.
 
 
"It's a huge win altogether. The way we started the second half, the way we started this game. We kept fighting, kept grinding and got it done." - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Braves on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Marcell Ozuna (R) LF
William Contreras (R) DH
Orlando Arcia (R) 2B
Michael Harris II (L) CF
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Matt Vierling (R) CF
Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Alec Bohm (R) DH
Yairo Munoz (R) 2B
Bryson Stott (L) SS
Johan Camargo (S) 3B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Austin Riley (.294)
Hits:  Austin Riley (111)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (28)
RBI:  Austin Riley (63)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (21)
Wins:  Kyle Wright (12)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (22)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Nick Maton (.500)
Hits:  Alec Bohm (94)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (30)
RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (59)
Stolen Bases:  J.T. Realmuto (13)
Wins:  Zack Wheeler (8)
Saves:  Corey Knebel (12)
ERA:  Francisco Morales (0.00)
 
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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