Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/26/2022

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jul 25, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, July 26, 2022
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -155, Phillies +135; Over/Under:  7 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -155, Phillies +135; Over/Under:  7 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -155, Phillies +135; Over/Under:  7 runs
 

Season Record

Atlanta Braves:  58-39 (2nd place, NL East)
Philadelphia Phillies:  49-46 (3rd place, NL East)
 
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Recent Form
Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  3-7 last 10
 
 
 

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis

 
The Braves were on a 2 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 58-39 record overall and have a road record of 25-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .756 OPS. Max Fried is their starting pitcher on Monday while Spencer Strider is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-3 with a 3.03 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 4 IP against the Washington Nationals. 
 
The Phillies enter this game on a 3 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Chicago Cubs getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 49-46 record overall and have a home record of 24-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Tuesday with the 1st game still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .724 OPS. Ranger Suárez is on the mound on Monday while Aaron Nola will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-7 with a 3.13 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 10 Ks on 4 hits through 8.1 IP against the Miami Marlins. 

 

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as an underdog in this game. The Phillies have not been playing well recently as they were just swept by the Cubs in their last series, and the Cubs have not been very good recently. The Phillies will be looking to bounce back here though as they were swept at home in their last series and are still at home here. This is also a very important series for them as they have some ground to make up sitting behind the Braves in the standings. The Phillies have Nola starting here and he should give them a good opportunity to win as he has been great all season and very consistent in his starts. The Phillies allowed a lot of runs in their last series but he should patch up some of those problems here and here pitch deep into the game as well. The Braves have Strider starting here and he has also been very good all season, striking out a lot of guys in his starts, but he allowed 5 runs in his last start not lasting very long in the game either, and he is starting to show his cracks now. He will continue to unravel here as he is still just a rookie and this is a good spot for the Phillies to bounce back as they were hot going into the break. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.
 
Braves Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 26, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 5 Braves 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Atlanta Braves: 200-145 (+18.3 Units) ML in all games. 91-71 (+12.5 Units) ML in road games. 23-12 OVER against division opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies: 159-157 (-22.2 Units) ML in all games. 54-61 (-18 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 23-17 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Atlanta Braves:  O. Albies (2B) Mid Aug - Foot. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist. A. Duvall (LF) out for season - Wrist.
Philadelphia Phillies:  J. Segura (SS) Early Aug - Finger. N. Maton (SS) Early Aug - Shoulder. B. Harper (RF) Late Aug - Thumb.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Command wasn't great. He started searching. It's hard. That's a tough place to be in as a pitcher. You're trying your damnedest but no matter what you do it doesn't work." - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Angels on Sunday.
 
 
"This game will put you on the highest of highs and lowest of lows. We have to keep doing what we were doing. We saw the results were there right before the break and we have to keep doing that." - Kyle Schwarber after their loss against the Cubs on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
William Contreras (R) C
Orlando Arcia (R) 2B
Guillermo Heredia (R) LF
Michael Harris II (L) CF
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Matt Vierling (R) CF
Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Darick Hall (L) DH
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Didi Gregorius (L) SS
Garrett Stubbs (L) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Dansby Swanson (.293)
Hits:  Austin Riley (109)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (28)
RBI:  Austin Riley (63)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (20)
Wins:  Kyle Wright (12)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (22)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Nick Maton (.500)
Hits:  Alec Bohm (91)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (30)
RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (59)
Stolen Bases:  J.T. Realmuto (12)
Wins:  Zack Wheeler (8)
Saves:  Corey Knebel (12)
ERA:  Francisco Morales (0.00)
 
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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