Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/25/2022

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, Jul 24, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Monday, July 25, 2022
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -150, Phillies +130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -150, Phillies +130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -150, Phillies +130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Atlanta Braves:  58-38 (2nd place, NL East)
Philadelphia Phillies:  49-45 (3rd place, NL East)
 
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Recent Form
Atlanta Braves:  7-3 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis

 
The Braves enter this game on a 2 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Washington Nationals 3-1 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 58-38 record overall and have a road record of 25-18. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Los Angeles Angels still to be played on Sunday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .757 OPS. Ian Anderson is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Max Fried is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 10-3 with a 2.64 ERA this season. His team won 10 of their last 11 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 7 hits through 7 IP against the Washington Nationals. 
 
The Phillies enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They won their last series against the Miami Marlins 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 49-46 record overall and have a home record of 24-24. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Monday with the 3rd game of their series against the Chicago Cubs still to be played on Sunday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .725 OPS. Bailey Falter is on the mound on Sunday while Ranger Suárez will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Monday. He is 7-5 with a 4.07 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP against the Miami Marlins. 

 

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game. The Braves have been playing well coming out of the break as they have already won 2 games against the Angels. They are close to catching the Mets who currently hold the 1st place spot in the NL East, and the Braves will be trying to take that spot over in this series. They also have a chance here to hurt the Phillies and spread the gap between each other as the Phillies are the nest team behind the Braves. The Phillies have not been playing well recently either as they have lost their 2 games coming out of the break and against the Cubs who have been awful all season and were losing a lot of games going into the break. The Phillies have been allowing a lot of runs in their recent games against the Cubs and they do not have a great starter in this game either as Suarez has not been great this season. The Braves have Fried pitching and he has been their best pitcher all season. He will keep this Phillies lineup cold like it has been recently and the Braves should take this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.
 
Braves Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, July 25, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Braves 5 Phillies 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Atlanta Braves: 200-145 (+18.3 Units) ML in all games. 91-71 (+12.5 Units) ML in road games. 23-12 OVER against division opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies: 159-157 (-22.2 Units) ML in all games. 54-61 (-18 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 23-17 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Atlanta Braves:  O. Albies (2B) Mid Aug - Foot. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist. A. Duvall (LF) Out indefinitely - Wrist.
Philadelphia Phillies:  J. Segura (SS) Early Aug - Finger. N. Maton (SS) Early Aug - Shoulder. B. Harper (RF) Late Aug - Thumb.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It's pretty cool for those of us who've seen him from the get-go, where he was to where he is now and the development, growth, maturity, confidence. What he's doing is pretty special, I think, and he hits all the pitches, too." - Brian Snitker on Austin Riley after his team’s win against the Angels on Saturday.
 
 
"It is what it is, man. I don't need to give an opinion on that." - Nick Castellanos on getting booed in their loss against the Cubs on Saturday. 
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
William Contreras (R) C
Orlando Arcia (R) 2B
Guillermo Heredia (R) LF
Michael Harris II (L) CF
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Matt Vierling (R) CF
Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Darick Hall (L) DH
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Didi Gregorius (L) SS
Garrett Stubbs (L) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Dansby Swanson (.293)
Hits:  Austin Riley (108)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (28)
RBI:  Austin Riley (63)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (20)
Wins:  Kyle Wright (12)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (22)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Nick Maton (.500)
Hits:  Alec Bohm (90)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (30)
RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (59)
Stolen Bases:  J.T. Realmuto (12)
Wins:  Zack Wheeler (8)
Saves:  Corey Knebel (12)
ERA:  Francisco Morales (0.00)
 
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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