Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/30/2022

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jun 29, 2022
Game Time: 6:05 pm ET, Thursday, June 30, 2022
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -110, Phillies -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -110, Phillies -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -110, Phillies -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Atlanta Braves:  43-32 (2nd place, NL East)
Philadelphia Phillies:  39-36 (3rd place, NL East)
 
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Recent Form
Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis

 
The Braves won 2 of their last 3 games and are entering this one off of a win. They lost their last series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 43-32 record overall and have a road record of 19-15. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .753 OPS. Kyle Wright is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Ian Anderson will be making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 6-4 with a 4.60 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 6 strikeouts on 6 hits through 4 innings played against the LA Dodgers. 
 
The Phillies lost 2 of their last 3 games and are entering this one off of a loss. They won their last series against the San Diego Padres 3-1 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 39-36 record overall and have a home record of 19-18. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .729 OPS. Ranger Suárez is on the mound on Wednesday while Aaron Nola will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Thursday. He is 4-5 with a 2.98 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 10 Ks on 7 hits through 7 IP against the San Diego Padres. 

 

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a -110 favorite but the odds are split that way for both teams. The Phillies have already dropped the series opener here after coming back from behind in the game just to lose anyway. They had plenty of chances to score runs in that game though, leaving runners stranded in scoring position in most of those innings. The Braves have Anderson starting here and even though he did have a good start to the season, he has begun to regress recently and has been allowing more runs in his starts now. He is coming off of another start where he allowed 4 runs and the Phillies are already putting players in scoring position, they will capitalize on Anderson here. The Phillies have Nola starting here and he has been very good all season , coming off of another great start in his last game as well. He has pitched even better at home than on the road this season as well and he will be able to keep the Braves off the board here for the Phillies to take at least one of these games in the series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.
 
Braves Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 30, 2022 (6:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 5 Braves 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Atlanta Braves: 185-139 (+14 Units) ML in all games. 85-68 (+12 Units) ML in road games. 17-6 OVER against division opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies: 149-148 (-21.8 Units) ML in all games. 52-57 (-14.3 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 29-19 OVER against right-handed starters.
 

Key Injuries

 
Atlanta Braves:  R. Acuna Jr. (LF) Ques Wed - Foot. O. Albies (2B) Mid Aug - Foot. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist.
Philadelphia Phillies:  B. Harper (RF) Early Aug - Thumb. N. Maton (SS) Early July - Shoulder. J. Segura (SS) Late Aug - Finger.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"He's swinging the bat really well. It's good to see. He's in a good place right now." - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Phillies on Tuesday.
 
 
"We've had a good month and we want to finish it off strong. We just have to keep doing our thing." - Kyle Schwarber after their loss against the Braves on Tuesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Atlanta Braves
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) LF
Mike Ford (L) DH
Orlando Arcia (R) 2B
Adam Duvall (R) RF
Michael Harris II (L) CF
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) LF
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Nick Castellanos (R) DH
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Didi Gregorius (L) SS
Odubel Herrera (L) RF
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
Bryson Stott (L) 2B
Mickey Moniak (L) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Michael Harris (.327)
Hits:  Dansby Swanson (84)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (18)
RBI:  Austin Riley (43)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (13)
Wins:  Kyle Wright (8)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (20)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Nick Maton (.500)
Hits:  Bryce Harper (77)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (22)
RBI:  Bryce Harper (48)
Stolen Bases:  J.T. Realmuto (10)
Wins:  Zack Wheeler (6)
Saves:  Corey Knebel (11)
ERA:  Francisco Morales (0.00)
 
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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