Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/28/2022

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, June 28, 2022

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -105, Phillies -115; Over/Under:  7 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -105, Phillies -115; Over/Under:  7 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -105, Phillies -115; Over/Under:  7 runs

 

Atlanta Braves:  42-32 (2nd place, NL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  39-35 (3rd place, NL East)

 

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Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10

 

 

 

 

The Braves lost 2 of their last 3 games before entering this one off of a win in their last game. They won their last series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 42-32 record overall and have a road record of 18-15. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday and they had Monday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .752 OPS. Spencer Strider was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Charlie Morton will be making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-3 with a 4.84 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 0 BB with 11 strikeouts on 3 hits through 7 innings played against the San Francisco Giants. 

 

The Phillies are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak. They won their last series against the San Diego Padres 3-1 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 39-35 record overall and have a home record of 19-17. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Braves on Tuesday and they had Monday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .729 OPS. Kyle Gibson was on the mound on Sunday while Zack Wheeler will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-4 with a 2.77 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 3 BB with 8 Ks on 7 hits through 4.1 IP against the Texas Rangers. 

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as slight favorites in this game. The Phillies have been heating up a lot ever since they gave up on Joe Girardi but the team has definitely been responding as they have gone on some big runs to put them back in a position where they can compete. They just won a 4-game series on the road against the Padres and were still hitting the ball very well despite their recent injuries. The Braves are coming off of a series loss to the Dodgers with a bad taste in their mouths as they blew the final game of that series in the 9th inning with 2 outs, letting the Dodgers come back from down 2-0 and win 5-3 in the 11th inning. They are going with Morton in this game and he is definitely not the guy he used to be, as his ERA is much higher than past seasons and he has not been pitching well in a lot of his starts this season. Wheeler is starting for the Phillies here and he has been lights out all season, especially when playing at home and he will continue that dominant performance in this game against a Braves lineup that did not score a lot of runs on the Dodgers over the weekend. The Phillies have the better pitching matchup here and their bats have been much better in the very short term. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.

 

Braves Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 28, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Braves 3.

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Atlanta Braves: 184-139 (+12.8 Units) ML in all games. 84-68 (+10.9 Units) ML in road games. 16-6 OVER against division opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies: 149-147 (-20.6 Units) ML in all games. 95-76 (-18 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 26-18 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher.

 

 

Atlanta Braves:  R. Acuna Jr. (LF) Ques Tues - Foot. O. Albies (2B) Mid Aug - Foot. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist.

Philadelphia Phillies:  B. Harper (RF) Out indefinitely - Thumb. N. Maton (SS) Early July - Shoulder. J. Segura (SS) Late Aug - Finger.

 

 

 

"That's a closer's life, will bounce back. He'll be fine. That's not the first and probably won't be the last time that's happened to him." - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Dodgers on Sunday.

 

 

"We will put him on the injured list (Sunday). I was concerned at first he got hit in the face. I was concerned right off the bat because he is a tough guy and he walked off the field immediately." - Dave Dombrowski on Bryce Harper’s injury after his team’s win against the Padres on Saturday.

 

 

 

Dansby Swanson (R) SS

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Marcell Ozuna (R) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) 2B

William Contreras (R) DH

Adam Duvall (R) RF

Michael Harris II (L) CF

 

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B

Nick Castellanos (R) DH

Didi Gregorius (L) SS

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Odubel Herrera (L) CF

Garrett Stubbs (L) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Matt Vierling (R) RF

 

 

Batting Average:  Michael Harris (.330)

Hits:  Dansby Swanson (84)

Home Runs:  Austin Riley (18)

RBI:  Austin Riley (43)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (13)

Wins:  Kyle Wright (8)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (20)

ERA:  William Woods (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Nick Maton (.500)

Hits:  Bryce Harper (77)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (21)

RBI:  Bryce Harper (48)

Stolen Bases:  Bryce Harper (9)

Wins:  Zack Wheeler (6)

Saves:  Corey Knebel (11)

ERA:  Francisco Morales (0.00)

 

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)