Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/22/2023

Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Thursday, June 22, 2023

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -120, Phillies +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -120, Phillies +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -120, Phillies +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  47-26 (1st place, NL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  38-35 (3rd place, NL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  8-2 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 last 10

The Braves are entering this game on a 7 game winning streak and completed the sweep 4-0 in their 4-game series against the Colorado Rockies in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-26 record overall and have a road record of 23-11. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .818 OPS. Rookie pitcher AJ Smith-Shawver is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Bryce Elder is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 5-1 with a 2.60 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Phillies are entering this game off of a loss in their last game but completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-35 record overall and have a home record of 19-12. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .741 OPS. Aaron Nola is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Taijuan Walker is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-3 with a 4.31 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 8 strikeouts on 7 hits through 8 innings played against the Oakland Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have been rolling lately as they are on a huge win streak in this series and even ended the long win streak the Phillies were on entering this series. The Braves have been climbing the MLB offensively too and now have one of the best offenses in the entire league while their pitching has also been getting better as they are getting healthier. The Phillies have been really hot in their games lately too but they were stunted by the Braves in this series already and their offense hasn't been putting up nearly as many runs as the Braves have been putting up in their games lately. Walker is on the mound for the Phillies and he has been pitching better lately but he still hasn't been great this season and has the potential to give up a ton of runs here with this really hot Braves offense. The Braves are going with Elder here and he has been having a great season not giving up many runs in his starts at all and has also been one of the best starters in this rotation. The Braves are just going to keep rolling here with the better offense and the better pitching matchup as they look to take control of the division with a stranglehold. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.

Braves Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 22, 2023 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Braves 5 Phillies 3.

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Atlanta Braves: 47-26 (+8.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 18-6 (+8.4 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. BRYCE ELDER is 8-2 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 and 9-1 UNDER in road games.

Philadelphia Phillies: 10-17 (-12.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 5-9 (-5.6 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. TAIJUAN WALKER is 20-10 UNDER in day games and 8-4 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150.

Atlanta Braves:  S. Murphy (C) Ques Wed - Hamstring. K. Wright (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Early July - Shin. K. Allard (SP) Late June - Oblique. M. Fried (SP) Mid July - Forearm. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  C. Sanchez (RP) Prob Fri - Hand. S. Dominguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. N. Song (SP) Late June - Back. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

“Hopefully, this is one that gets him going.” - Brian Snitker on Spencer Strider after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Tuesday.

“He's made me a liar so many times because he's such a quick healer. I don't know.” - Rob Thomson on Bryce Harper’s possible return after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Tuesday.

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Kevin Pillar (R) LF

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Trea Turner (R) SS

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryce Harper (L) DH

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Kody Clemens (L) 1B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Batting Average:  Orlando Arcia (.341)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (96)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (21)

RBI:  Ozzie Albies (53)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (31)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (8)

Saves:  A.J. Minter (10)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.333)

Hits:  Nick Castellanos (88)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (20)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (45)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (12)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (7)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (10)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.40)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)