Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/21/2023

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Wednesday, June 21, 2023

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +100, Phillies -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +100, Phillies -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +100, Phillies -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Atlanta Braves:  46-26 (1st place, NL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  38-34 (3rd place, NL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  8-2 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  8-2 last 10

The Braves are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak and completed the sweep 4-0 in their 4-game series against the Colorado Rockies in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-26 record overall and have a road record of 22-11. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .818 OPS. Spencer Strider is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher AJ Smith-Shawver is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-0 with a 2.03 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 6 hits through 5.2 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Phillies are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-34 record overall and have a home record of 19-11. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .742 OPS. Ranger Suárez is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-5 with a 4.66 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 9 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6.2 innings played against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have been on a roll lately with 6 wins in a row now and they also have one of the best offenses in the MLB now, putting up a ton of runs in their last series over the weekend. The Phillies have also been a lot better lately as they have finally crawled 4 games over .500 after a really slow start and have won 6 games in a row entering this series too. The Phillies have been a lot better in their home games too but the Braves have been a great road team all season and are clearly on a mission right now to pull so far ahead of this division. The Phillies are going with Nola on the mound here too and he hasn't been great in his starts lately giving up a ton of runs. With the way the Braves have been hitting lately, their offense is going to eat Nola up here while the Phillies struggle more against a start that isn't very well known. The Braves have their rookie pitcher Smith-Shawver on the mound here and he has the advantage of the Phillies not having too much tape to go off of. The Braves are going to take advantage of the way Nola has been pitching poorly lately and they will put up a ton of runs in this game as their offense leads them to another win. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.

Braves Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 21, 2023 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Braves 8 Phillies 4.

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Atlanta Braves: 46-26 (+7.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 17-6 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 31-16 OVER in night games. 41-28 OVER in all games.

Philadelphia Phillies: 10-17 (-12.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 5-8 (-4.6 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. AARON NOLA is 22-7 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 and 25-12 OVER in home games.

Atlanta Braves:  S. Murphy (C) Ques Tues - Hamstring. K. Wright (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Early July - Shin. K. Allard (SP) Late June - Oblique. M. Fried (SP) Mid July - Forearm. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Castellanos (RF) Ques Tues - Illness. C. Sanchez (RP) Prob Fri - Hand. S. Dominguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. N. Song (SP) Late June - Back. R. Marchan (C) Out indefinitely - Hand. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

“We aren't striking out as much, we are walking more and the walks are scoring. The guys are all a year older and more mature. We're still a young team.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Sunday.

“It just brings energy into our dugout and puts the other guys on their heels a little bit. I think there's a fear factor there when he steps to the plate, first hitter of the game, and puts the other team on guard." - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the A’s in their game on Sunday.

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Trea Turner (R) SS

Alec Bohm (R) 1B

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Josh Harrison (R) RF

Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Cristian Pache (R) LF

Batting Average:  Orlando Arcia (.341)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (94)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (20)

RBI:  Ozzie Albies (52)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (30)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (7)

Saves:  A.J. Minter (10)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.333)

Hits:  Nick Castellanos (87)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (20)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (45)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (12)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (7)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (10)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.40)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)