Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/26/2025

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Thursday, June 26, 2025

Venue:  Citi Field, Flushing, NY 

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -110, Mets -110; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -110, Mets -110; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -110, Mets -110; Over/Under:  9 runs

Atlanta Braves:  37-41 (3rd place, NL East)

New York Mets:  46-34 (2nd place, NL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  7-3 last 10

New York Mets:  1-9 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 37-41 record overall and have a road record of 15-26. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Mets on Thursday with the 3rd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Braves won the series opener on Monday and the 2nd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .704 OPS. Rookie pitcher Didier Fuentes is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Grant Holmes is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 4-6 with a 3.71 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 5 BB with 5 SO on 5 hits through 5.2 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Mets are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-34 record overall and have a home record of 27-12. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Mets lost the 1st game of this series on Monday and the 2nd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .741 OPS. Clay Holmes is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Griffin Canning is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-3 with a 3.91 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a pick ‘em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves haven't looked good in their games this season with their 37-41 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL East. They have been a terrible road team too with their 15-26 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Mets have looked really good in their games this season with their 46-34 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have also looked great in their own ballpark with their 27-12 home record. The Braves have already taken the first 2 games of this series and they have been red hot lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games while the Mets are 1-9, but the Mets are going to be desperate for a win at home and this is a good pitching matchup for them to take advantage of. Canning is on the mound for the Mets in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 7-3 with a 3.91 ERA and the team has been having success with him lately. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but he hasn't been giving up many runs lately and the team has won 3 of the last 4 games he started in. Holmes is on the mound for the Braves in this one and he has looked good this season too. He is 4-6 with a 3.71 ERA and didn't give up any runs in his last start, but the team has lost 4 of their last 5 games with him starting and the Mets are going to be desperate for a win here. As bad as the Mets have been lately, they can get to Holmes for some runs as they do have one of the best offenses in the MLB still. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game. 

Braves Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 26, 2025 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 4 Braves 3.

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Atlanta Braves: 230-177 (-34.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 110-97 (-20.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 82-76 (-16.2 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 14-7 UNDER against division opponents.

New York Mets: 118-86 (+6.5 units) on the moneyline in home games. 70-61 (+4.4 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 164-132 (+17.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 24-10 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Atlanta Braves:  M. Harris II (CF) Day To Day - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Rib. A. Smith-Shawver (SP) Sixty Day IL - Calf/Elbow. D. Hernandez (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Arm. R. Lopez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee.

New York Mets:  M. Kranick (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. T. Megill (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. K. Senga (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring. M. Vientos (3B) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. J. Winker (LF) Sixty Day IL - Side. D. Young (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. B. Raley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. S. Manaea (SP) Sixty Day IL - Oblique. J. Siri (CF) Sixty Day IL - Shin. C. Scott (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. N. Madrigal (3B) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. D. Smith (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“It’s something we were having a hard time doing. You have to do that. You have to get two-out hits if you’re going to win games. They were few and far between, but now it’s getting back to being baseball again.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Tuesday.

“That’s kind of like the guy that we saw in the playoffs. It’s easy 97, it’s a heavy sinker, he’s around the zone. If we get a guy like that, he’s going to help us. And that’s why he’s here.” - Carlos Mendoza on Montas after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Tuesday.

Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Drake Baldwin (L) C

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Alex Verdugo (L) LF

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Nick Allen (R) SS

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Brandon Nimmo (L) LF

Juan Soto (L) RF

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Starling Marte (R) DH

Jeff McNeil (L) CF

Luis Torrens (R) C

Brett Baty (L) 3B

Ronny Mauricio (S) 2B

Batting Average:  Ronald Acuña (.385)

Hits:  Austin Riley (88)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (15)

RBI:  Matt Olson (52)

Stolen Bases:  Michael Harris (11)

Wins:  Spencer Schwellenbach (6)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (9)

ERA:  Dylan Dodd (0.00)

Batting Average:  Pete Alonso (.286)

Hits:  Pete Alonso (86)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (18)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (64)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (13)

Wins:  Clay Holmes (7)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (15)

ERA:  Austin Warren (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (10th season)

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (2nd season)