Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/25/2025

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, June 25, 2025

Venue:  Citi Field, Flushing, NY 

Where to Watch:  FDSSE, FDSSO, SNY

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +112, Mets -137; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +115, Mets -135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +115, Mets -135; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  36-41 (3rd place, NL East)

New York Mets:  46-33 (2nd place, NL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  7-3 last 10

New York Mets:  1-9 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-41 record overall and have a road record of 14-26. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Mets on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. The Braves won the series opener on Monday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .703 OPS. Spencer Strider is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Didier Fuentes is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 3 SO on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Mets are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-33 record overall and have a home record of 27-11. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Mets lost the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Frankie Montas is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Clay Holmes is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-4 with a 3.04 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 6 walks with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4.2 innings pitched against the Atlanta Braves.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves haven't looked good in their games this season with their 36-41 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL East. They have been a terrible road team too with their 14-26 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Mets have looked really good in their games this season with their 46-33 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have also looked great in their own ballpark with their 27-11 home record. The Braves have been red hot lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games while the Mets have been in a terrible slump, going 1-9 in their last 10 games, but the Mets are going to be desperate to turn things around and they have the much better pitching matchup here to take advantage of. Holmes is on the mound for the Mets in this one and he has looked great in his starts this season. He is 7-4 with a 3.04 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs all year. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting too, but he will be looking to bounce back with a better start along with the team as a whole looking to bounce back too. The Braves are going with Fuentes in this one and he is a rookie that doesn't have a lot of experience pitching in the MLB at all. He is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA since he gave up 4 earned runs in 5 innings in his only MLB start, his team losing that game too. The Mets haven't been putting up a ton of runs lately, but they still have one of the best offenses in the MLB and they are going to be able to put up some runs on this rookie so this is a great situation for them to bounce back in. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game. 

Braves Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 25, 2025 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 7 Braves 1.

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Atlanta Braves: 229-177 (-35.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 109-97 (-21.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 21-36 (-12.7 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 35-22 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better.

New York Mets: 118-85 (+7.5 units) on the moneyline in home games. 70-60 (+5.4 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 164-131 (+18.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 24-9 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Atlanta Braves:  C. Sale (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Rib. A. Smith-Shawver (SP) Sixty Day IL - Calf/Elbow. D. Hernandez (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Arm. R. Lopez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee.

New York Mets:  M. Kranick (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. T. Megill (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. K. Senga (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring. M. Vientos (3B) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. J. Winker (LF) Ten Day IL - Side. D. Young (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. F. Montas Jr. (SP) Sixty Day IL - Lat.B. Raley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. S. Manaea (SP) Sixty Day IL - Oblique. J. Siri (CF) Sixty Day IL - Shin. C. Scott (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. N. Madrigal (3B) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. D. Smith (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“Nothing surprises me with him anymore. You know it's not a small sample anymore. You come to expect it, and I think he expects it. He's just so focused.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Monday.

“Especially when you’re chasing a lot, it feels like during this stretch, we’re getting down early in games and then the at-bats are pretty much completely different.” - Carlos Mendoza after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Monday.

Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Sean Murphy (R) C

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Eli White (R) LF

Nick Allen (R) SS

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Brandon Nimmo (L) LF

Juan Soto (L) RF

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Tyrone Taylor (R) CF

Jared Young (L) DH

Luis Torrens (R) C

Brett Baty (L) 3B

Batting Average:  Ronald Acuña (.396)

Hits:  Austin Riley (87)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (15)

RBI:  Matt Olson (49)

Stolen Bases:  Michael Harris (11)

Wins:  Spencer Schwellenbach (6)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (8)

ERA:  Dylan Dodd (0.00)

Batting Average:  Pete Alonso (.286)

Hits:  Pete Alonso (85)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (18)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (64)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (13)

Wins:  Clay Holmes (7)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (15)

ERA:  Austin Warren (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (10th season)

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (2nd season)