by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jun 23, 2025
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, June 24, 2025
Venue: Citi Field, Flushing, NY
Where to Watch: TBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Braves -150, Mets +123; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Braves -150, Mets +125; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Braves -150, Mets +125; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Atlanta Braves: 35-41 (3rd place, NL East)
New York Mets: 46-32 (2nd place, NL East)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Brian Bitler is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB on a 10-5 MLB RUN for +$5,700 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Atlanta Braves: 7-3 last 10
New York Mets: 2-8 last 10
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis
The Braves are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-41 record overall and have a road record of 13-26. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Mets on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .703 OPS. Spencer Schwellenbach is their starting pitcher on Monday while Spencer Strider is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-5 with a 3.89 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 8 SO on 5 hits through 6 IP against the New York Mets.
The Mets are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-32 record overall and have a home record of 27-10. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .747 OPS. Paul Blackburn is their starting pitcher on Monday while Frankie Montas is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season and he will be making his first start of the MLB season in this game.
Braves vs Mets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves haven't looked good in their games this season with their 35-41 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL East. They have been a terrible road team too with their 13-26 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Mets have looked really good in their games this season with their 46-32 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have also looked great in their own ballpark with their 27-10 home record. The Mets have been really good all season and were even leading the NL East over the last few weeks, but they just allowed the Phillies to pass them for 1st place and they have slipped into a big slump lately, going 2-8 in their last 10 games. The Braves started the season with one of the worst records in the MLB and they have been digging themselves out of that hole all year, but now they are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have some momentum on their side. The Braves are going with Strider in this one and he hasn't looked bad this year. He is 2-5 with a 3.89 ERA, but he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts and he has looked a lot better lately too. His team has won 2 games in a row now with him starting and he is coming off a great start in which he gave up 1 earned run, and that was against the Mets just last week. The Mets are going with Montas in this one and he has been a reliable starter in his career, but this is his 1st start of the season and this isn't a great situation to be in with a slumping team that hasn't been putting up many runs lately either. The Braves are getting hot at the right time and this is a pitching matchup they can take advantage of. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.
Braves Mets Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 24, 2025 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Braves 5 Mets 3.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Atlanta Braves New York Mets prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.
MLB Betting Trends
Atlanta Braves: 228-177 (-36.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 108-97 (-22.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 202-135 (-23 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 34-22 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better.
New York Mets: 118-84 (+8.5 units) on the moneyline in home games. 70-59 (+6.4 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 164-130 (+19.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 24-9 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Key Injuries
Atlanta Braves: C. Sale (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Rib. A. Smith-Shawver (SP) Sixty Day IL - Calf/Elbow. D. Hernandez (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Arm. R. Lopez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee.
New York Mets: M. Kranick (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. T. Megill (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. K. Senga (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring. M. Vientos (3B) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. J. Winker (LF) Ten Day IL - Side. D. Young (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. F. Montas Jr. (SP) Sixty Day IL - Lat.B. Raley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. S. Manaea (SP) Sixty Day IL - Oblique. J. Siri (CF) Ten Day IL - Shin. C. Scott (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. N. Madrigal (3B) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. D. Smith (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“Life of a sinker-baller. He had some balls that snuck through. Got hurt with a slider a little bit. Then Dylan [Dodd] came in and gave the bloop [single] to right field to add a run. In this game, one run as an add-on is a big deal.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Marlins in their game on Sunday.
“There’s a lot of potential there, and when he’s playing up to his potential, he’s got a chance to be a pretty special player. And we’re going to need him. We expect him to be back. But right now, we feel like it’s best for him to go down there and get reps.” - Carlos Mendoza on sending Francisco Alvarez down to the Minors.
Starting Lineups
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Drake Baldwin (L) C
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Nick Allen (R) SS
New York Mets
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Starling Marte (R) DH
Juan Soto (L) RF
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Brandon Nimmo (L) LF
Luis Torrens (R) C
Tyrone Taylor (R) CF
Ronny Mauricio (S) 3B
Luisangel Acuña (R) 2B
Statistical Leaders
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average: Ronald Acuña (.396)
Hits: Austin Riley (85)
Home Runs: Matt Olson (15)
RBI: Matt Olson (49)
Stolen Bases: Michael Harris (11)
Wins: Spencer Schwellenbach (5)
Saves: Raisel Iglesias (8)
ERA: Dylan Dodd (0.00)
New York Mets
Batting Average: Pete Alonso (.290)
Hits: Pete Alonso (85)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (18)
RBI: Pete Alonso (64)
Stolen Bases: Francisco Lindor (13)
Wins: Clay Holmes (7)
Saves: Edwin Díaz (15)
ERA: Austin Warren (0.00)
Managers:
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (10th season)
New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
